| Since2003, Prologis companies in American came into the Chinese market, real estate inour country get the general attention, triggered a logistics real estate investment boom. In recentyears, the rapid development of the logistics industry and multinational companies in ourcountry, stimulate the development of logistics property. But at the same time, it appeared manyproblems in the process of the development of logistics real estate in our country, such as not toidentificate and evaluate investment risk before investment, that lead to inadequateunderstanding of risk and blind development, caused the high vacancy rate and high investmentrisk.This paper based on the real estate investment risk as the research object. First of all, realestate, investment risk and related theories are expounded. The concept and operation mode oflogistics property, the concept and characteristics of investment risk, the risk managementtheory and the theory of the investment environment are briefly introduced; Secondly,identificate the real estate investment risk, included six investment risk: natural risk, policy risk,market economy countries risk, technology risk, social risk, decision-making and managementrisk.Then, on the basis of the peak real estate investment risk identification of logistics, usingthe Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to determine the weight of each risk index, combiningFuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method to build the logistics real estate investment riskevaluation model; Finally, take as an example, it is concluded that the total cost of theinvestment risk is, belongs to risk, it verified the feasibility and rationality of logistics realestate investment risk evaluation model which constructed by the Analytic Hierarchy Processand Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method. |
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