An Research Of The Sustainable Development For The Citrus Industry Based On The Entropy Method And Grey Relational Analysis Method

With the development of the economic Shimen citrus industry has continued to expand the scale of the industry and the industrial system is becoming more and more perfect in recent years.However there is a new development problems in the bottleneck.In this paper,it adopts the idea of "putting forward the problem,the theoretical analysis,the present situation description,set up evaluation model,the evaluation results,the construction of the mechanism and the safeguard measures".With literature reading and sorting to looking for the way do some research depends on the basis of ecology and economics theory,firstly defines four concepts about the citrus industry complex system of sustainable development,sustainable development of citrus industry,citrus industry sustainable development level and the sustainable development of citrus industry mechanism,and then read a lot of literature,statistical yearbook,survey data,description concession for citrus industry development present situation,based on the research of the sustainable development in ShiMen for the Citrus industry,we use the Entropy Method to calculate the ShiMen Citrus industry sustainable development level in 2008-2015,and the Grey Relation Analysis Method to analysis the correlation between 28 index variables to the sustainable development level in ShiMen for the Citrus industry.The higher the correlation is,the greater expressive force of the indicators of evaluation target has,the better development in the index factors of ShiMen it is.On the contrary,the less the correlation is,the worse expressive force of the indicators of evaluation target has,the worst development in the index factors of ShiMen it is,to reach that the highest expression is the agricultural cultivated land area and the lowest expression is the the added value of citrus industry,that concession for agricultural land area is rich in resources,sufficient carrying the sustainable development of citrus industry.But its industrial chain is not perfect enough,the citrus industry for the additional industry output value,such as transportation,refrigeration industry,the ecological tourism are lack of impetus ability,and because the lower productive level of science,the technology production of citrus industry related processing value has been ignored.Aimed at the problem,this paper set up a sound Citrus industry circular economy mode,establish and improve the regulatory mechanism of concession for citrus industry system and formulating relevant specific development measures to realize the sustainable development of Shimen citrus industry.