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Forecast Of China's Foreign Trade Structure And Optimization Strategies

Posted on:2017-07-05Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:N N XuFull Text:PDF
GTID:2359330566956459Subject:International business
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
After the Opening up reform,China's links with the international market more closely.Foreign trade structure has also been improved at the same time.Facing the complicated domestic and international economic situation,how to maintain economic growth for the optimization of industrial structure adjustment and prevent inflation and other economic crisis seems very important.Current situation requires the Government has a study on China's existing import and export trade products and aspects of market structure.So can make a change of Macro-adjustment with China's foreign trade structure.To have a better reseach on China's foreign trade structure and trend,we must understand the structure of China's trade status and the trade data model.By this ways,we can predict it's future trends predicted by the models and data analysis,and put forward suggestions for improvement.In a word,Study on the development trend of China's economic policy adjustment of China's foreign trade structure has the theoretical and practical significance.Based on the import and export trade statistics of these years,we can use Grey prediction method and MATLAB software combined with the established model of economics to get our results from both the regional structure and commodity structure of foreign trade analysis.Through the United Nations and various parts of the world,we collected trade data segregation area by continents.Then we can have a detailed analysis of major trading countries on five continents.Through modeling and forecasting,two conclusions can be drawn:(1)We should seize more opportunities by balancing strategic trade policy adjustments and increasing levels of processing trade;(2)we should integrate strategic optimization from Europe,America,Africa,Asia and Oceania areas.
Keywords/Search Tags:Trade structure, Grey forecast, Strategic recommendations
PDF Full Text Request
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