The Evolution Of Marine Economic Policy In China And Its Impact On Marine Economic Development

In order to speed up the construction of a maritime power,it is feasible to adhere to the land-sea coordination and the development of marine economy,and improve the coherence and effectiveness of marine economic policies.Therefore,it is of great significance to analyze the evolution process of marine economic policies and the mechanism of their impact on the development of marine economy.Firstly,the evolution process of China's marine economic policy from 1979 to2017 is empirically analyzed,and 247 policies and regulations after the reform and opening-up are sorted out by using "PKU magic weapon" network.Then,the evolution process of China's marine economic policy from 1949 to 2017 is divided into six stages according to the history of China's marine economic development,with the stage of the reform and the process of governing the country by law.?1949-1963: the period of recovery and establishment of China's marine economic policy,?1964-1977: the period of tortuous transition of China's marine economic policy,?1978-1992: the period of rapid development of China's marine economic policy,?1993-2002: the period of systematic construction of China's marine economic policy,?2003-2010: the period of comprehensive development of China's marine economic policy,and ? 2011---: the national strategic period of China's Marine Economic Policy.Next,this paper uses North's theory of institutional change to explain the overall characteristics of the change of marine economic policy.From the main content of policy texts,this paper builds available and measurable indicators to measure marine economic policies,and further builds an indicator system to evaluate marine economic development.Given the first programmatic document "Outline of National Marine Economic Development Planning" issued by the State Council in May 2003,due to the lagging effect of policy implementation,especially the publication of "Classification Standards for Marine and Related Industries"(GB/T 20794-2006),the panel data of 99 samples of 11 coastal provinces and cities in 2007-2015 were used,in order to maintain the consistency of statistical caliber.Structural Equation Model(SEM)is established by choosing formative measurement indexes,and the path coefficient is estimated by Partial Least Squares(PLS)regression method.The direct,indirect and total effects of marine economic policies on marine economic development are measured.Findings show that,? the main positive factors affecting the development of marine economy include mainland coastline length per unit area,the proportion of the marine tertiary industry,national fixed asset investments in ocean,personnel quality of marine science and technology,GDP,etc;main negative factors include powerconsumption per ten thousand GDP in coastal area,applications and conversion rate of marine scientific and technological achievements,quantity of marine employment,etc.?The key path of policies influencing marine economic development is "marine economic policies?marine growth driver?marine economic states?marine economic development".? From the total effects,the implementation of marine economic policies has effectively promoted the improvement of the state of marine economy,the improvement of marine ecology and the progress of marine society,thus promoting the marine economic development.(4)The direct effects of the policies on the state of marine economy,the policies on the development of marine economy,and the driving force of marine growth on the development of marine economy are not significant.