A Study On Moderate Scale Of Mutton Sheep Breeding In Shandong Province

Large-scale breeding is an inevitable trend in the development of mutton sheep breeding.Shandong Province is the third largest mutton sheep breeding province in China,following Sinkiang and Inner Mongolia.In recent years,Shandong has been developing rapidly in large-scale mutton sheep breeding,but still has many problems such as low-level scale degree,low scale benefits,and difficulties in disease prevention.Therefore,in the context of the continuous development of large-scale mutton sheep breeding,the status analysis of large-scale mutton sheep breeding in Shandong,the determination of the moderate scale of mutton sheep breeding in Shandong,and the research on the choice willingness of moderate-scale breeding of large-scale breeding farms(farmers)in Shandong not only further improve the large-scale mutton sheep breeding,avoid wasting resources,improve the economic benefits of breeding,and effectively alleviate the environmental pollution caused by the blind expansion of breeding scale,but also are the inevitable choice for mutton sheep breeding farms(farmers)to realize intensive management and large-scale standardized production and a necessary prerequisite for Shandong Province to achieve the transformation from a large sheep-breeding province to a strong sheep-breeding province.First of all,this paper analyzes the status of large-scale mutton sheep breeding in Shandong Province.Based on relevant authoritative data,this paper descriptively analyzes the status of mutton sheep production,large-scale mutton sheep breeding farms(farmers)and large-scale mutton sheep breeding structure in Shandong.According to the data obtained from the questionnaires,this paper makes an empirical analysis of the current production and management behaviors of large-scale mutton sheep farms(farmers)in Shandong Province from different perspectives.The results show that Shandong Province,as one of the high-yield areas of mutton sheep production in China,has made a good performance in annual mutton output,breeding stock and mutton production in China.At present,the high-yield areas of mutton sheep breeding in Shandong are still the central and western regions.The structure of large-scale mutton sheep breeding in Shandong is relatively stable,and most of the breeding farms(farmers)are small and medium scale.Therefore,there is much room for the future development of mutton sheep breeding in Shandong.It has gradually become the consensus of large-scale breeding farms(farmers)to develop moderate-scale breeding so as to obtain more breeding profits.With the expansion of mutton sheep breeding scale,breeding farms(farmer)can more easily acquire funds and land resources during production and management,mutton sheep breeding has been more standardized and organizational,the site selection of mutton sheep breeding farms has been continuously optimized,the awareness of disease prevention and control has been continuously improved,the disease prevention and control facilities have been continuously improved,the environmental protection facilities have been constantly improved and the treatment of sheep manure has become more scientific and environment-friendly.Secondly,this paper studies and determines the moderate scale of mutton sheep breeding in Shandong Province.Based on the perspective of the mutton sheep industry and the cost-benefit data of mutton sheep breeding farms(farmers)in 17 cities of Shandong Province in 2018,which was obtained by questionnaire survey,this paper quantitatively analyzes and determines the moderate scale of mutton sheep breeding of corporatized breeding farms and large-scale breeding farmers based on the breakeven theory.The results show that breakeven can be achieved only when the mutton sheep breeding scale of corporatized mutton sheep breeding farms in Shandong are 529 and 2406,and the profit can be maximized when the mutton sheep breeding scale is 1467;breakeven can be achieved only when the mutton sheep breeding scale of large-scale mutton sheep breeding farmers in Shandong are 40 and 394,and the profit can be maximized when the mutton breeding scale is 217.Thirdly,this paper studies the moderate-scale breeding choice willingness of large-scale mutton sheep breeding farms(farmers)in Shandong.Based on the data obtained from the field research of large-scale breeding farms(farmers)in 17 cities in Shandong,this paper empirically analyzes the factors influencing the willingness of large-scale mutton sheep breeding farms(farmers)to choose moderate-scale breeding using Logit Dual Discrete Choice Model.The results show that the willingness of large-scale breeding farms(farmers)to choose moderate-scale breeding is significantly influenced by three factors,including the educational level of breeding farms(farmers),the scale of mutton sheep breeding,and the degree of specialization.The feature of production places of mutton sheep has a U-shape influence on the willingness of large-scale breeding farms(farmers)to choose moderate-scale breeding.That is to say,large-scale mutton sheep breeding farms(farmers)in the low-yield and high-yield areas are more willing to choose moderate-scale breeding than those in the middle-yield areas.Finally,this paper draws the conclusions based on the previous research and analysis,and specifically proposes policy recommendations for the problems in moderate-scale mutton sheep breeding in Shandong from the perspectives of both farm(farmers)and the government,with a view to providing relevant reference for the further improvement of large-scale mutton sheep breeding and the development of moderate-scale mutton sheep breeding in Shandong.