Simulation Analysis Of Ecological Vulnerability For Regulation Of Inhabited Island

Island ecosystem has the material production,adjustion,landscape and other service functions,is public resources with high safety,economy,resources and ecological value.Develop and utilize island and its surrounding waters is the important way to solve the problem of resources shortage in China.But in recent years,the construction projects,tourism developing and so on,increased the impact of human activities for island vulnerability,so in the process of development on the island,many other problems appeared,such as island land resource depletion,ecological environment destruction,island and the surrounding water environment deterioration.In order to balance the island economic development and island ecological protection,it is necessary to study the ecological vulnerability of the island and to realize the rational utilization and sustainable development of the public resources.This paper explore how to achieve the balance of economic development and island ecological protection in the island and the identification of reasonable and effective management control strategy,in order to achieve the goal of sustainable development of the island.First,found there is a problem of present study that they ignore the spatial distribution difference and dynamic change characteristics of island ecological vulnerability,by summarizing the research results of domestic and foreign research on the connotation,research framework and evaluation methods of island ecological vulnerability.Secondly,this paper puts forward the research framework of ecological vulnerability simulation and management.Third,by using empirical analysis and expert interview,this paper constructs an ecological vulnerability assessment index system of ZhuJiajian Island,and evaluated the ecological vulnerability of ZhuJiajian island in 2015.Fourth,in combination with system dynamics approach to the construction and development and tourism simulated on the basis of the key factors such as population,conducted ZhuJiajian Island ecological vulnerability situation simulation from 2016 to 2025,and conducted in-depth comparative analysis on the result of the assessment.Finally,the countermeasures and Suggestions were put forward from the aspects of exposure,sensitivity and adaptability to the management and regulation of island ecological vulnerability in ZhuJiajian Island and the whole country.