Study On The Impact Of Menghua Railway On Coal Price In Central China Market

As the world's largest coal producer and consumer,coal resources play a vital role in China's energy consumption.China's coal resources are mainly produced in Shanxi,Shaanxi and Inner Mongolia and other northern provinces,while China's coal consumption and import are mainly in central and southern China.The differences in regional distribution of coal resources and the resulting contradictions between production and consumption constitute the coal transportation pattern of "coal transportation from north to south" in China.With the development of economy in central China,the consumption of coal is increasing.At the same time,the shortage of coal is expanding under the background of coal deactivation in China.As a new channel of coal resources in China,the Menghua Railway has increased the coal supply from the "Three West" areas to central China,and greatly improved the efficiency of coal transportation.The calculation of transport costs of the Menghua Railway and the impact of the railway on coal prices in central China have become an important practical problem for coal consumption enterprises.Based on the existing coal logistics network and the current situation of coal logistics in central China,this paper analyses the changes of coal logistics in central China,and through the analytic hierarchy process to analyze the influencing factors of coal logistics cost in central China,so as to get the main influencing factors of coal logistics cost.Combining the theory of space price equilibrium and the theory of perfect competition market,the freight price model is constructed to calculate the freight of Menghua Railway,and on this basis,the influence degree of coal price in central China in different periods after the opening of Menghua Railway is analyzed.Finally,according to the calculation of freight price model,it is proved that the method of using space price theory to determine the market boundary to predict transport costs can get accurate transport costs,which provides a reference for coal price prediction and railway pricing.At the same time,the opening of Menghua Railway strengthens the coal supply in the "Three West" areas,optimizes the coal transportation network,reduces the cost of coal transportation in central China on the basis of lowering the cost of coal transportation,thus saving a lot of coal transportation costs and bringing huge economic benefits to central China.