Research On The Influencing Factors And Decoupling For Ecological Pressure Of Carbon Footprint In The Belt And Road

Nowadays,extreme weather phenomena in many countries and regions have been increasing year by year.Climate warming has become a prominent feature of global climate change.CO₂-based greenhouse gas emissions are the main cause of global warming.As countries in developing economies increase,dependence on fossil energy continues to increase,and emissions of carbon dioxide-based greenhouse gases will continue to rise.Developing countries occupy a dominant position in countries along the One Belt and One,with carbon emissions accounting for more than half of the world's total.Therefore,it is important to measure the ecological pressure of the carbon footprint in energy consumption of countries along the Belt and Road,to find relevant influencing factors,and to analysis the relationship between carbon emissions and economic scale based on influencing factors,and to share win-win and green development among countries along the route.In this context,the model of the ecological Pressure of the carbon footprint based on carbon footprint is proposed and the influencing factors and decoupling analysis are carried out.Firstly,it systematically sorts out the current status research at home and abroad.Secondly,it defines the concept of the ecological pressure of the carbon footprint,and explains the interaction between energy,economy and environment through relevant theoretical foundations.The following factors laid the foundation for the influencing factors;Then,it proposed the ecological stress model of energy consumption carbon footprint(EP_cfec),defines three states of EP_cfec?light pressure,balance and heavy pressure?,and conducts time and space on the results of EP_cfec in various countries.Evolutionary difference analysis;Finally,the LMDI method is used to decompose the driving factors of EP_cfec,and the contribution of each driving factor is evaluated from the Belt and Road whole region and seven sub-regions.According to the analysis results,the decoupling analysis model of EP_cfec and economic growth is constructed,and the relationship between the two is provided as a useful reference for the implementation of low carbon development strategies in countries along the Belt and Road.The main conclusions are as follows:The EP_cfec along the Belt and Road is still very large,but the growth trend has gradually slowed down;The two factors of per capita export of goods and services trade and the population density on productive land to EP_cfec have significantly promoted;The energy intensity and the GDP effect of international trade have played a depressing role,and the effect of energy structure is small and there are positive and negative fluctuations;As a whole,the countries along the Belt and Road have not yet achieved sustainable economic and environmental development.In the longer term,efforts must continue to achieve coordinated development of the trade economy and the environment.For less developed regions,trade can be used to balance domestic resource allocation,effectively stimulate domestic economic development,and reduce consumption and waste of natural resources.For relatively economically developed regions,efforts should be made to promote industrial structure diversification and trade diversification.