Study On Factors Affecting Agricultural Carbon Emission And Countermeasures For Emission Reduction In Sanjiangyuan Region Of Qinghai

As an important ecological functional area in China and even in the world,the increasing carbon emissions of Sanjiangyuan threaten the regional ecological security.With the implementation of Sanjiangyuan protection policy,the level of industrial carbon emissions has been effectively inhibited,and the situation of agricultural carbon emissions has become an important factor in the increase of regional carbon emissions,so it is of great significance to study the regional agricultural carbon emissions.First of all,according to the calculation method of carbon emissions provided by IPCC,according to the data of agriculture and statistics departments in Sanjiangyuan region from 2008 to 2017,and combined with the current situation of agriculture in Sanjiangyuan region,calculate the agricultural carbon emissions in this region.Using BP neural network model,according to the agricultural carbon emissions in the past decade,predict the development of medium and long-term agricultural carbon emissions,and predict their carbon emissions The development trend and the possible problems of carbon emission are analyzed.Secondly,based on the existing research results of agricultural carbon emission and the agricultural development in Sanjiangyuan area,the research hy pothesis is put forward,and according to the data such as the questionnaire of farmers,the structural equation factor analysis method is adopted,from the variables of agricultural environmental awareness,the implementation of environmental protection policy,the support intensity of government tax policy,the scale of farmers' breeding,and the use level of organic fertilizer Variables,farmers' willingness to use pesticides,and environmental protection variables of agricultural transportation are modeled to analyze the influencing factors of agricultural carbon emissions in Sanjiangyuan area.Finally,combined with the development and influencing factors of agricultural carbon emissions in Sanjiangyuan,some research suggestions are put forward.In general,it is necessary to update agricultural production equipment,improve the supporting system of social services,strengthen the guidance of low-carbon awareness,highlight the role of the government as the main body,adjust the planting and breeding structure,strengthen energy conservation and emission reduction to establisha regional agricultural low-carbon system,promote the goal of intensive utilization of resources and ecological environment protection,and improve the agricultural ecological environment in Sanjiangyuan in the future,It provides reference value.