Research On Investment Risk Evaluation About Jiuhua Shipping Company

As the 2008 financial crisis swept the world,leading to rapid economic decline in countries,the shipping industry will also be brought to its knees.The shipping market,as a result of the reduction of global trade and the increase in the quantity of new shipbuilding,produced a serious imbalance phenomenon between supply and demand.Freight rates fell,which caused a certain impact on different sizes the enterprises.So far,the global economy is recovering.Although the shipping industry is still sluggish in the past few years,there are signs of bottoming out,and it is in the process of gradual recovery.Ship investment has a huge impact on the fleet structure,transport capacity,daily production and management activities,so evidently it is the importance of shipping companies.However,ship investment has the characteristics of abundant investment capital,high investment risk,long investment recovery period,and it's vulnerable to various factors.The turbulence of shipping market will bring various unpredictable risks.Ship investment risk analysis can be timely and accurately into the project,and identify the key issues.Once the external or internal environment changes,analyzing the risk,finding the causes and predicting the consequences of a variety of programs timely can effectively choose the best measures,and thus help enterprises to reduce unnecessary losses and improve economic efficiency.The application of scientific and rational risk analysis method for ship investment project is of an unusual significance to the enterprises.Based on the analysis and study of the meaning,characteristics and influencing factors of ship investment risk,this paper uses the sensitivity analysis,Monte Carlo simulation method and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to establish the ship investment risk evaluation model to evaluate the possible risk of the ship investment.According to the specific case,combined with the scientific theoretical basis and the characteristics of Jiuhua Shipping Company,this paper puts forward the ship investment risk management measures and recommendations to enable investors to more accurately and more fully grasp the ship investment risk.This paper has a certain theoretical and practical significance for shipping enterprises on ship investment practice.