Dry And Bulk Shipping Market Forecast

From 2000 to 2017,the international dry bulk market and dry bulk cargo market have been strongly concussion and long-term adverse effects.At the same time,the stochastic factors and the expected scale that affect the fleet's development are also increasing.The balance between supply and demand has been greatly broken,making the future direction of fleet operators and fleet uncertain.When the shipping market is in an unpredictable stage of confusion,shipowners need to predict the future development trend of dry bulk shipping market,so as to improve their competitiveness.Therefore,this paper mainly aims at the current situation of the international dry bulk cargo market and the future development direction of the fleet,and guides the future development direction of the fleet,and applies the conclusions to the Hongkong hehe shipping company.It is particularly important that the overall trend of the shipping market is beginning to recover.On the basis of analysis and prediction,the most favorable investment decision in the future is obtained.This paper reviews the operation of dry bulk shipping market in 2016,analyzes the market trend and main influencing factors of ship types,looks forward to the global economic and domestic economic situation in 2017,and sums up the risk points and growth points of the global economy.On the basis of the analysis of the main influencing factors of various kinds of goods,the shipping demand of all kinds of goods after 2017 is predicted.Analysis of main factors of delivery capacity,stock capacity and navigation at reduced speed affect the supply and demand,forecast changes each year.Finally,combined with the capacity of ship macroeconomic situation,shipping supply and demand situation and the trend of commodity prices,to predict the trend of dry bulk market after 2017.This paper is mainly based on the Baltic Dry Index to forecast the prospects of dry bulk shipping,the innovation of this paper is from the angle of the traditional maritime economics,to find out the influence of reason,shipping freight index and then using econometric methods to analyze the influencing factors.By combining the FFA market,we can find out the real reasons for the impact on the shipping rate in recent years.The measured parameters have good regression fitting degree and prediction accuracy,which can explain the reasons for the abnormal marine market in recent years.It is of theoretical and practical significance to analyze and investigate the fluctuation characteristics of Baltic Dry Cargo index,so as to avoid ship operation risk.