"The Belt&Road" Research On The Influence Of The Export Of Chinese Machinery And Transportation Equipment

Mechanical transportation equipment includes a wide range of modern high-tech products is an important carrier.Since the beginning of the 21st century,due to its high technology content and high profit,it has become one of the products that promote the scale growth of China’s export economy in recent years,exports of the product account for the highest proportion of China’s total exports,accounting for nearly 50%of China’s total exports since 2009.Since 2013 chairman Xi Jinping formulate the policy of "the Belt&Road",it provides a good promotion for China to strengthen trade with countries along the route,especially in the export of machinery and transportation equipment.China’s exports of machinery and transport equipment to countries along the "the Belt&Road "grew 107 percent in 2017 compared with 2009,year-on-year growth of 22.6 percent since the policy was proposed in 2013.Therefore,to promote China’s "the Belt&Road" countries along the export of mechanical transport equipment,to promote the implementation of "the Belt&Road" policy strategy has very important practical significance.On this basis,it is necessary to study the growth structure of China’s export of machinery and transportation equipment to countries along the "the Belt&Road",draw corresponding policy conclusions,in order to better promote trade between China and countries along the line.Metliz(2003)[56]proposed that heterogeneous firm’s intra-industry trade model solved the insufficiency of the previous theory that only along the extended margin or only along the intensive margin,decompose the value of trade into extended margin and intensive margin,thus the extended margin and the intensive margin are put under a unified framework,that is,the framework of binary marginal analysis.The binary marginal measurement method can better reveal the structural evolution of export growth of China’s mechanical transport equipment,in order to make more specific analysis and better policy recommendations,make the export of mechanical transport equipment to improve export competitiveness.In this paper,the innovative every detailed classification of mechanical transport equipment products for binary marginal decomposition,at the same time,the innovative joined the "the Belt&Road" initiative a virtual variable is put forward.The combination,more in-depth analysis of the structure evolution of mechanical transport equipment export growth,and from the perspective of quantitative,analyze "the Belt&Road”initiative of the influence of the export of machinery and transportation equipment.Finally,according to the research results and the problems found to provide a more targeted policy recommendations.This paper is mainly divided into five parts:The first chapter is the introduction.introduces the background of the paper and significance of this topic;summarizes and sorts out the previous literature from two aspects:the binary marginal method,Our country exports to all the way "area" national machinery and transportation equipment;introduces the research content and research methods of the paper;finally,explain the innovation and deficiency of this paper.The second chapter is related concept and theory foundation.Introduce the scope of the related concepts studied in this paper;the theoretical basis supporting this thesis is also introduced.The third chapter is our country and "the Belt&Road" along the country’s trade status and binary marginal analysis.Analysis of China and the world along the country’s machinery transport equipment exports of the current situation;then introduce the framework of binary marginal decomposition;estimates the intensive margin and extended margin of China’s total volume of mechanical transport products and trade data of subdivided products of countries along the "the Belt&Road".Results indicate that,China’s export structure and export market of mechanical transport equipment to countries along the "the Belt&Road" are unbalanced,and the increase of intensive margin is obviously higher than that of extension margin,it indicates that the quantity and scale of export is the main contributor to the export growth of China’s mechanical transportation equipment,and it reflects that,in recent years,China’s innovation ability in mechanical transportation equipment is low.The fourth chapter is the analysis of the influencing factors of the binary marginal growth of China’s export of mechanical transport equipment to countries along the "the Belt&Road".Firstly,qualitative analysis is made on the influencing factors of binary margin;then apply the extended gravity model,according to the binary margin of decomposition、policy、the economic scale of the countries along the road、geographical distance、trade cost、multilateral trade resistance、Infrastructure factor、common boundary and whether they are both members of the WTO on the basis of quantitative analysis;obtain the empirical results and their policy implications.The result shows that,countries along the belt and road are economically backward,as a result,the fixed trade cost has a negative impact on the number and types of China’s export of machinery and transportation equipment.The proposal of "the Belt&Road" policy opens the door for countries along the belt and road,have a good opportunities to increase trade between countries.The fifth chapter is the conclusion and countermeasures.According to the empirical above results,draw the main conclusions;in view of the existing problems of the results,the countermeasures and Suggestions for promoting the further development of China’s mechanical transport equipment are provided.The innovation of this paper lies in:First,deepens the depth of binary marginal decomposition.This paper decomposes the total export value of mechanical transportation equipment into binary marginal value,and the industry will continue to be subdivided into each small category of product exports decomposed into binary marginal,in order to better analyze the export growth factors of the industry.Second,Extended binary marginal industry decomposition.This paper studies our country to "the Belt&Road" along the national machinery and transportation equipment export and combining the calculation of bivariate marginal,as one of the innovation of this paper point.Third,expands the variables.In this paper,the proposal of "One Belt And One Road" is analyzed as the influencing factor of China’s export binary marginal.And add Five variables of infrastructure construction.From the policy and the infrastructure construction aspect to do the further analysis to the export.