Study Of Population Structure And Economic Growth's Impact On Carbon Emissions

At present,the issue of global warming has become the focus of attention of the international community and is closely related to the survival and development of human society.The international community generally believes that reducing greenhouse gas emissions,especially carbon dioxide emissions,is the best way to solve global warming.Since the reform and opening up,along with the rapid development of China's economy and the gradual advancement of urbanization and industrialization,China's industry-led extensive economic development model has led to the massive consumption of fossil energy and the massive emission of greenhouse gases;in addition to economic factors,the population The impact of factors on carbon emissions can not be ignored.Some studies have pointed out that by the end of the 21 st century,only the impact of changes in population factors(including population size and population structure)will increase China's carbon emissions by more than 45%,with the total population With the rapid increase in the quantity,the population structure including the urban-rural structure,employment structure,and family size is constantly changing,resulting in a complex and volatile impact of population factors on carbon emissions.Therefore,this paper studies the impact of population structure and economic growth on carbon emissions,and analyzes them from both theoretical and empirical perspectives,in order to provide theoretical references and experience for advancing China's sustainable economic and social development.This article first systematically reviews the research on carbon emissions at home and abroad,reviews the status quo of the topic research,analyzes the impact of population structure and economic growth on carbon emissions,and consolidates the theoretical basis of the full text;second,China's population structure,economic growth and carbon The basic profiles of emissions are described to provide realistic evidence for this study.Third,based on the STIRPAT model,the data of 30 provinces in China from 2007 to 2016 are used,and the population structure of the entire country and the eastern,central and western regions is determined by the fixed effect model and the dynamic panel model.The empirical analysis of the impact of economic growth factors on carbon emissions was conducted.Finally,on the basis of full-text research and analysis,we provided constructive advice on how to achieve energy conservation and emission reduction and take the road of low-carbon economy development in China from the economic and population perspectives.The conclusions of this paper are as follows: 1.There is an inverted “U”-shaped curve relationship between per capita GDP and carbon emissions.As the per capita GDP increases,carbon emissions will show a trend of first increase and then decrease.2.The labor force ratio will pass through production channels.Carbon emissions have a significant positive effect.The average household size has a significant inhibitory effect on carbon emissions through consumption channels.3.The impact of urbanization rate,secondary industry employment rate,and openness on carbon emissions will have regional differences.East and West The carbon drivers in the region have both commonalities and differences.The innovations of this paper are as follows: First,this study expands the population structure into a population age structure,a population employment structure,a family structure,etc.,and is innovative;second,considering different geographical environments,people have different consumption habits and different income levels.Under the circumstances,population and economic factors have different effects on carbon emissions and different elasticity coefficients.This paper analyzes the differences between the eastern,central and western regions based on the level of economic development,and obtains the impact of various variables on carbon emissions.