A Study On The Impact Of China's Manufacturing Export Trade Based On The CJKFTA Will Be Built

The current China,Japan,Korea gradually become each other's most important trading partner,the trade volume continued to enlarge.Founded in Japan and South Korea FTA(China,Japan and South Korea Free Trade Area,CJKFTA)can reduce tariff barriers,speeding up economic integration in Northeast Asia,to stimulate economic growth in the region,but also increase social welfare.This article as a starting point,the compilation of relevant research data and information on the FTA negotiations CJKFTA involved,and estimates of the establishment of CKFTA will accelerate Japan joined CJKFTA speed.In this paper,the level of manufacturing in accordance with the technical content is roughly divided into four categories,and then select the product classification analysis representative,organize related data drawn China and Japan,the price and volume exported to South Korea nearly 10 years of commodity exports,comparison products exported to the structural differences between the two countries.Japan and South Korea Customs Tariff,non-tariff barriers and other policy study,master of Japanese exports of manufactured goods,tariffs and non-tariff barriers faced by Korea may encounter.According to the amount of relationship between the price of China's manufacturing industry to Japan and South Korea export trade,constructing mathematical models,giving the right to observe the growth of the new weight,divided into two different scenarios forecast of China's manufacturing industry to the Japanese and Korean export prices and export volumes produced The different effects,combined with the actual change in every industry to produce qualitative analysis.Conclusions: The Export to occur in seven sectors of trade creation,an industry trade diversion,four industry trade increased occurrence atrophy;trade creation effect mainly in the high-tech and high-tech industries,including medical and precision optical equipment industry Best,trade increased decline concentrated in low-skilled and low-technology industries.South Korea export trade in four industry trade creation occurred,five industry trade diversion,three industry trade increased occurrence atrophy;low technology trade creation in balanced development phase,in which the effect of typical computers and parts industry,mainly in trade diversion and the high-tech industry,trade increased decline concentrated in the low,medium and low technology industries.Overall,CJKFTA construction on China's manufacturing exports is more good than harm,but there are still problems to be solved.Finally,according to research findings,the recommendations put forward corresponding countermeasures from the macro level and industry level.