Scenario Analysis Of Land-use Change In The Province Of Overijssel Based On APOLUS And CA Model

Land use change has become one of the hot and key issues of research at home and abroad.It is closely related to the process of social and economic development.It is restricted and restricted by natural environmental factors,but also influenced by factors such as economy,society,culture and technology.It has a very obvious regional and comprehensive nature.In this paper,taking the province of eler in the typical province of Holland as the research object,this paper analyzes the situation of land resource utilization in 2005-2015 years,discusses the problems and difficulties of the present and future land use in the province,and builds 4 different scenarios of land use scenario simulation on this basis,so as to be the province of upper eler.The way of land use provides reference.On the basis of the analysis of the natural conditions,social and economic conditions and the current situation of land use in the province of the province,the APOLUS model is used to simulate the situation of the amount and structure of the land use in the upper AI province.The situation of land use in the upper arth province was calculated under 4 scenarios of normal development,urban expansion,cultivated land protection and energy sustainability,and the analysis was carried out in many aspects.The results show that,under the normal development model,the urban land use and energy use in the upper eleven province continued to grow steadily,the growth rate was 0.27% and 0.2%,and the agricultural land continued to decrease to 0.57%.In the urban expansion mode,the size of urban land use in the upper eleven province expanded,and expanded rapidly,and increased by 0.52%.Compared to the previous period,the agricultural land was greatly reduced and the decrease was 0.82%.Under the protection mode of arable land,the agricultural land in the province was effectively protected,the area changed little,the corresponding urban land growth also decreased,to 0.12%.Under the sustainable development model of energy,the renewable energy of the upper arth province was fully developed.Utilization of the corresponding energy land increased significantly,to 0.35%.