Analysis On The Characteristics And Influencing Factors Of Apples' Price In Qixia

After the founding of new China,apple production for 40 years,from 1952 only 110 thousand tons of slow growth to nearly 5 million tons.Apple is one of the most important economic crops in China,is one of the most important people in the daily life of food,due to the uncertainty and sensitivity of the price of apples,directly affect the enthusiasm of farmers planting and apple planting area,which affects the market supply and demand of apple.Qixia is located in the middle of Jiaodong Peninsula,because planting area,comprehensive service,orchard management,product quality and production yield and benefit of enterprises and other six national first named Chinese apple,has been leading the Chinese apple market benchmark.Qixia has a total population of 620 thousand,the growth of 700 thousand acres of Chinese the largest and most sophisticated quality management of apple orchard,the annual output of 2 billion kilograms of high quality apple.Therefore,this paper analyzes the characteristics of Qixia from 2000 to 2016 the price of apples,further analysis of the main factors affecting the price of Qixia apple.The study of H-P filter model analysis from 2012 to 2016 during Apple's purchase price and sale price of the price and price fluctuation analysis of Apple long-term trend and short-term volatility characteristics,analysis of the characteristics of the price volatility is divided into three stages:stable stage of 2012-2013,2013-2015 continued to rise,in 2015-2016 years falling stage.Close to Apple sales price fluctuations in the volatility of the price,but that time ahead of,the price of apples is transferred from the terminal market to the front end of the market.The price of apples on the overall fluctuations are irregular and non symmetry.Secondly,using factor analysis and linear regression model to analyze the influencing factors of the price of apples.There are many factors affecting the price of apples,the macro factors:natural conditions,national policy,international trade and other factors;the microcosmic factors:Apple's own quality,grade and time to market.The empirical analysis shows that the main factors influence on the price of the apple is apple yield production cost,and the consumption level of residents.Finally,according to the results of empirical research,summarizes the full text,and from the market supply and demand situation of the objective description,put forward reasonable suggestions for the long-term development and production of apple.