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Research On The Effecting Factor Of Tea Export In Our Country

Posted on:2020-02-13Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:S L LiFull Text:PDF
GTID:2439330578952933Subject:World economy
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
According to the data of Tea Institute of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences,tea becomes a world-wide beverage that is second only to water.At the same time,tea is an important economic crop in our country,but also an important product of export trade.Tea industry is in an important period of transformation and upgrading,in order to establish an important position in the exchange and cooperation among the international tea market it is necessary to clarify how the factors affect tea exports,and the extent of the influence of each factor,then make decisions conducive to promote tea exports in the formulation of macro-economic policies.There are many factors affecting the tea export in our country.In selecting variables,this paper not only absorbs the existing research results,but also combines the relevant characteristics of tea export trade in China,finally selected four factors:the technology,tea subsidy of government,nominal rate and economic openness,then describe the source and explanation of data samples.After completing the smoothness test and Johansen co-integration relationship of data,then used the impulse response and variance decomposition of Bayesian VAR model to examine the influence,and make empirical conclusions from the analysis.Through the empirical analysis,we can see that the increase in the number of patents in tea production has the best effect on promoting the export of tea in China.Secondly,real effective exchange rate of RMB and the degree of economic openness fluctuated slightly at a stable level in the later period.The effect of the amount of government subsidy on tea export in China has a small increase in efficiency,but in general,the effect of government subsidy on the growth of tea export in China is very small.Then put forward reasonable suggestions to promote the development of tea export in our country.
Keywords/Search Tags:Tea exports, Bayesian VAR model, macro-economic factors
PDF Full Text Request
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