Study On The Equilibrium Of Urban Housing Price

Urban housing price is an important content related to national financial security and sustainable development of national economy.In recent years,the price of urban housing has been rising rapidly,which is much higher than the income level of residents.In order to curb housing prices from rising too fast rate,balance the balanced development of urban housing price,is the urgent need to solve the problem,and academic research on housing price equilibrium is still limited to unilaterally,without the housing price and supply demand,balanced economic development,such as combination analysis,must be comprehensive,long-term,stable,sustainable and balanced and strategy for the development of residential property prices.Scholars both at home and abroad research on urban housing price equilibrium,on the basis of related theories and methods,taking 14 cities in guangxi as an example,analysis of 14 city house price and supply demand,balance and coordination degree of economic development,housing price calculated by using stata and SPSS software measurement of demand and supply,economic development degree of "unbalanced" and "deviation",and then combined with the three laws of delta partitioning equilibrium interval probability and statistics,the city residential property prices all aspects of the degree of equilibrium,equilibrium interval and equilibrium,and the housing price equilibrium control put forward opinions and Suggestions.The main conclusions are as follows:(1)from the perspective of the whole district,the overall housing price and economic development are relatively balanced,and there is an unstable equilibrium state between supply and demand,which is in the trend of "short supply";From the perspective of the 14 prefecture-level cities,there is still a local imbalance between housing price,supply and demand,and economic development from 2006 to2017,especially between housing price and supply and demand.Some prefecture-level cities have too much fluctuation,and it is difficult to control the stability of supply and demand.For example,most cities such as nanning,hezhou and wuzhou are in the state of "demand exceeds supply",while liuzhou and fangchenggang are in the state of "supply exceeds demand"(2)the balance of 14 cities in guangxi city residential property prices range for the unbalanced degree in(-0.77,0.81)for reasonable balance,falls in between(-1.165,-0.77)and(0.81,1.205)for general equilibrium between,on the(-∞,1.165)and(1.205,∞)for disequilibrium between,fall and deviation between(-0.48,0.46)for reasonable balance,falls in(-0.715,-0.48)and(0.46,0.89)for general equilibrium between,falls in(-∞,-0.715)and(0.89,∞)is not balanced.(3)according to the division of equilibrium interval,it is determined that the housing prices in cities such as chongzuo in 2006,guilin in 2008,yulin in2009 and 2010,and fangchenggang in 2011 are inconsistent with the supply and demand and economic development.(4)formulate control measures in accordance with local conditions according to urban differences,so as to achieve "one city,one policy";Improve the urban housing market mechanism,housing price record system,make the urban housing price more and more transparent;We will establish a price comparison and growth rate comparison mechanism for urban housing to promote comprehensive and balanced development of urban housing prices.