| As an important transportation infrastructure,rail transit’s value is reflected in the direct users of vehicles,and on the other hand,it is directly or indirectly influenced by the development of the industry.With the improvement of rail transit transportation production efficiency and service quality,it plays an increasingly important role in social and economic development;rail transit transportation technology continues to advance,and transportation scale continues to expand,which are constrained and affected by the level of economic development,social economy The development of the displacement demand for people or things is the basis for the existence and development of rail transit.The advanced rail transit system needs funds,technology and resources as support.Therefore,while paying attention to the development of rail transit,it is necessary to balance its relationship with economic development.Further,through literature research,it is found that although the research literature on railway development has different research perspectives,most of the research supports the positive effect of railway on economic development;Urban rail transit related benefit research has also been confirmed from different angles.It will play an active role in alleviating urban traffic pressure,improving the urban environment,and improving travel efficiency.However,the research on the impact of economic development on the development of rail transit and the interaction between economic development and rail transit is relatively lacking.Based on this,the thesis is as follows:(1)Based on the panel data of 31 provinces(municipalities)and autonomous regions in China from 2007 to 2017,build a rail transit and economic development level indicator system,measure the dynamic trend and spatial evolution characteristics of China’s rail transit and economic development level respectively,and use VEC.Model analysis found that there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between rail transit and economic development.(2)Based on the long-term stable equilibrium relationship between rail transit and economic development,the PVAR model is established.Based on the panel data of 31 provinces(municipalities)and autonomous regions in China from 2007 to 2017,the three major regions of eastern,central and western regions are studied.The dynamic effects of development and regional differences lead to the following conclusions: 1)From the national perspective,China’s traditional railways,urban rail transit and economic development are dependent on their own development of inertia.Traditional railways and urban rail transit have shown a certain degree of positive impact on economic development.Economic development has positive for traditional railways.The impact is negative for the development of urban rail transit;the impact of rail transit on economic development is greater than the impact of economic development on rail transit.2)From the perspective of the three major regions,there is a certain regional difference in the interactive relationship between rail transit and economic development.The economic development in the eastern region has a significant impact on traditional railways(positive),and urban rail transit in the eastern and central regions has a significant impact on economic development(negative)The traditional railways in the central and western regions have a significant impact on economic development(positive);the eastern region’s ability to interpret economic development(0.4%)or the ability of urban rail transit to explain economic development(0.5%)It is the smallest of the three major regions.The traditional railways in the central region have the greatest explanatory power for economic development(4.5%).The urban rail transit in the western region has the greatest explanatory power for economic development(10.2%);economic development on urban rail transit and tradition The interpretation of the railway is very small,the maximum explanatory power is only 1.1%,and the minimum explanatory power is 0.4%,indicating that the rail transit development has strong autocorrelation. |
