Research On Risk Warning System Of Innovative Enterprises

With the continuous upgrading of the degree of world integration and the deepening of China's economic system reform,the new economic development model has gradually become the core driving force of China's future development.As their important representatives,innovation-oriented enterprises have made great contributions to China's economic development.However,influenced by the development characteristics and the uncertainty of the innovation process,innovation-oriented enterprises often face high risks in the operation process,and the types of risks are different from other enterprises.All kinds of risks are important factors that restrict the development of innovation-oriented enterprises.Therefore,it is an urgent problem to conduct in-depth research on the risks in the process of production and operation and to carry out risk early warning.This paper uses the knowledge of risk theory and comprehensive risk management theory to split the risk of innovation-oriented enterprises,and expounds the concept,function and operation mechanism of risk early warning management of innovation-oriented enterprises.Then,the paper classifies and refines the risk of innovation-oriented enterprises from the internal system and the external macro environment,and constructs the risk warning system of innovation-oriented enterprises.At the level of risk identification and prediction,a key risk evaluation index system of innovation-oriented enterprises is constructed,which includes ten factors and forty-six measurement items.At the level of risk early warning,the obtained data are used,the analysis method of system dynamics is applied,and the dynamic change characteristics of the corresponding risks of innovation-oriented enterprises are analyzed.The study found that the risk level curve of each department presented an inverted U shape to varying degrees,while the whole system played a certain role in dispersing the whole department.Among them,the impact of market risk on the comprehensive risk level was continuous throughout the entire operation stage of the enterprise.There is a certain risk threshold for R&D risk and financial risk in the subsystem,and the self-regulation ability of the department will be ineffective when the limit is exceeded,which makes the risk flow spread in the whole system.The influence of different levels of R&D risks on the comprehensive risk level is basically the same in the early and middle stage of enterprise operation,while in the later stage there is some differentiation.However,different levels of financial risks mainly affect the early stage,middle stage and late stage of enterprise development.Further research shows that enterprises can not only use time effect to disperse system risks to reduce uncertainty,but also adopt a layered and multi-stage approach to flexibly deal with risks and effectively control the comprehensive risk level by enhancing the enterprise's risk management and coping ability.Finally,based on the research conclusion,this paper formulates more targeted risk control measures for innovation-oriented enterprises,and provides more sufficient and effective basis for enterprises to carry out risk management.