Research On The Influence Of Agricultural Products Export Structure On Farmers' Income In Shandong Province

With the continuous advancement of economic globalization and world trade liberalization,the export volume of China's agricultural products has been increasing year by year.Shandong province is the largest agricultural product export province in China,which belongs to the typical region of agricultural product export.Meanwhile,the income level of farmers in Shandong province is in the forefront of the whole country.Therefore,it is of great significance to study the impact of Shandong province's agricultural product export structure on farmers' income.Shandong agricultural product export structure optimization is the important force to promote the transformation of agriculture and increasing farmers' income,in view of this state in this paper,based on calendar year agricultural products export in Shandong province and combining the farmers' income,explore agricultural products export structure and the internal relation between the farmers' income,the empirical analysis of Shandong agricultural product export structure impact on farmers' income and reasonable planning advice.In this paper,the structure of agricultural products is divided into product structure and market stru cture to study their impact on farmers' income.According to HS national standard classification,export agricultural products are divided into four categories: animal products,plant products,oils and fats,and food and beverage.Market structure,selection of Japan,South Korea,the association of south-east Asian nations(Asean),the European Union,the United States,Russia,Brazil,Australia,eight typical Shandong agricultural product export countries and regions,respectively,to build VAR regression model of the impact of farmers' income.Prior to the beginning of vector autoregression,a series of process tests,such as cointegration test,ADF test and Granger causality test,were completed to ensure that there is indeed a long-term stable causal relationship between explanatory variables and explained variables,and then it entered the subsequent empirical analysis stage.First,from the product classification level,this paper analyzes the relationship between the four categories of agricultural products in HS coding system and farmers' income.The second is to analyze the relationship between the main export market of agricultural products in Shandong province and farmers' income from the level of market classification.In order to make up for the previous research from the total level analysis failed to refine the impact of product level and market level.The results show that there is a causal relationship between the structure of export products and the variables of farmers' income,and it is feasible to establish a vector autoregressive model.The results show that the four major categories of agricultural products exported by Shandong province have a long-term equilibrium relationship with the income of farmers in Shandong province.The contribution of export product structure to the growth of farmers' income is the second category(plant products),the third category(oils and fats),the first category(animal products)and finally the fourth category(food,drink,tobacco).There is a causal relationship between export market structure and farmers' income variables,and it is feasible to establish a vector autoregressive model.Four of the top eight agricultural export markets have a long-term equilibrium relationship with farmers' income in Shandong province,and the contribution of export market structure to farmers' income growth is Japan,South Korea,Asean and the European Union.On the basis of the analysis of the empirical results,this paper analyzes the Shandong agricultural products export structure optimization on the successful experience of farmers' income growth,and develop agricultural products export structure optimization and related policies,farmers' income to the government of Shandong province in agriculture,increase and development of foreign trade,as well as points area focuses on the implementation of policies to guide plant export and so on to provide the reference and reference.