Analysis On Spatial-temporal Pattern Dynamic Of Tourism Development And Optimization Strategy In Guangxi

Tourism,as a strategic pillar industry of Guangxi national economy,is an important driver to realize the construction of an international channel facing ASEAN,the strategic fulcrum of the open development of the southwest and south regions,and the organic connection of the three strategies of "One Belt And One Road".However,the imbalanced and inadequate development of tourism in the region still restricts and affects the realization of the three strategic goals in many aspects.It is an inevitable choice to promote the implementation of the three strategies by objectively understanding the characteristics and laws of imbalanced and inadequate tourism development in the region,and actively exploring the path of coordinated development.Based on the sustainable development and other related theories,the study first selects indicators to collect relevant data,and explores the evolution of the spatial and temporal pattern of tourism development in Guangxi from the distribution of cold and hot spots in tourism development,the evolution of the center of gravity,and the intensity of spatial connections.Secondly,the study uses Eviews8 software to analyze the impact of economic development level,tourism resource endowment,tourism service facilities,transportation capacity,policy support,and environmental quality on the spatial and temporal pattern of tourism development.Finally,based on the spatial-temporal characteristics and influencing factors of tourism development,a scientific and reasonable optimization strategy is proposed to promote the coordinated development of tourism in Guangxi.The main conclusions are as follows:(1)The spatial-temporal pattern of tourism development in Guangxi shows the evolution characteristics of agglomeration-diffusion-agglomeration,and the core-periphery structure is relatively stable;the cold and hot spot distribution at each stage reveals different characteristics.The hotpots are mainly concentrated in the north and southeast.Nanning and Guilin have very stable leadership positions and have always been the core hotspots.The original cold spot area,Baise,has gradually become the leader in western Guangxi after decades of development.The cold spot areas are mainly the southern,central,and northwestern regions.With Chongzuo,Fangchenggang,Qinzhou,Laibin,Hechi,and Wuzhou as the main cold spot areas,which cannot be upgraded to become hot spots in the short term.(2)The evolution track of the center of gravity shows a “quadrilateral” space-time pattern along the “southwest-northeast” direction.The east-west direction not only shifts the distance higher than the north-south direction,but also moves at a higher speed than the north-south direction.There are two phases: the first phase is from 1999 to 2009,and the moving speed is fast;the second phase is from 2009 to 2018,and the moving speed is slow.(3)The spatial correlation continues to increase,with path dependence,but there is a protruding phenomenon.The spillover effects of tourism development and the ability to receive radiation in various cities continue to increase,and the density of the spatial network is getting larger and larger,gradually forming Nanning and Guilin,Liuzhou,Beihai four major cities of tourism development circle.(4)The spatial and temporal pattern is the result of the interaction among tourism resource endowment,tourism service facilities,policy support,transportation capacity,environmental quality and economic development level.All factors play a positive role in tourism development.Among them,tourism resource endowment has the largest influence,followed by tourism service facilities,policy support,transportation capacity,economic development level and environmental quality.(5)Combined with the full text of the study,based on the theories of sustainable development,circle structure,point axis,etc.,the paper proposes the construction of point,line and surface tourism development structure and other strategies to provide a decision basis for promoting the coordinated,balanced and sustainable development of tourism in Guangxi.By analyzing the evolution characteristics of the spatial pattern of Tourism development in Guangxi,this paper makes an in-depth analysis of the main factors of the evolution of the spatial pattern of tourism development in Guangxi,which is helpful to summarize the law of its evolution,construct the spatial pattern of regional tourism development,promote regional tourism development,and accelerate the realization of the "three major strategies" of Guangxi.