Adjust The Research Study On The Evolution Of Economic Gap And Administrative Division Adjustment In Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

The coordinated development of The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has become a major national strategy,but the problems of uncoordinated and unbalanced development within the region have become increasingly prominent.In Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regional economic gap and the administrative relationship as the research object,to narrow the gap between regional economy as the research target,based on the data from 1952 to 2018,using VAR model,granger causality test,impulse response analysis and variance decomposition methods validation cycle accumulation of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regional economic gap evolution causal effect,build the "three to four square" regional asymmetric game model,discusses regional interests maximization game equilibrium conditions of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,expand regional competition relationship analysis theory and method,to solve the problem of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regional development gap,etc to provide the new train of thought.The main content of this paper includes the following four parts:Firstly,the research background,significance and relevant research situation at home and abroad are expounded,and the research contents and research methods are introduced.On this basis,the paper describes the related concepts,theoretical basis and mechanism of action,focusing on the concept and theory of this paper involved in the definition and elaboration.Secondly,based on the data from 1952 to 2018,VAR model,Granger causality test,impulse response analysis and variance decomposition were used to verify the cyclic cumulative causal effect of sudden change points in the evolution of economic gap in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,and reveal its mechanism and process.The ARMA model of regional economic gap evolution is established and the dummy variable of mutation point effect is introduced to investigate its influence.Thiredly,by building "three square area more asymmetric game model,analysis the formation mechanism of regional economic disparities of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,emphasizes the central in the" three to four party "asymmetric game model and global interests preference,the leading position of the various administrative division adjustment and administrative relations plan idea,explore the implementation of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regional interests maximization game equilibrium conditions.Finally,based on the analysis of the circular cumulative effect of the development gap of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and the theoretical analysis of the game model of "three regions and four parties",the paper puts forward some policy Suggestions to narrow the economic gap and adjust the administrative division of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.