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A lingering grudge in the face of a power transition; the French-Canadian sovereignty movement in perspective

Posted on:2010-04-01Degree:M.AType:Thesis
University:The University of Texas at El PasoCandidate:Villarreal Alvarez, SergioFull Text:PDF
GTID:2446390002987210Subject:Political science
Abstract/Summary:
I hypothesize that an individual that has experienced a power transition, as measured by income, will be more likely to challenge the status quo than one that has not. The hypothesis is tested by relying on a mathematical probability model and is then corroborated through a qualitative analysis. This analysis was accomplished by using a dataset that was collected in Quebec during the time of the referendum; the final vote of each individual was contrasted with their relative income and dissatisfaction with the federation.;While income alone will not bring about a secessionist vote, the increase in the likelihood of such a vote can be contrasted across income levels to show the effects hypothesized. The result being that when we control for dissatisfaction at a middle point, those voters with low income will be less likely to vote for secession than those with a high income at the same level of dissatisfaction. Again, I find that at middle levels of dissatisfaction "income" has a decisive role in determining an individual's vote in the referendum.
Keywords/Search Tags:Income, Vote, Dissatisfaction
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