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Estimating the impact of 21st century climate change on wildfire risk potential

Posted on:2007-08-14Degree:M.SType:Thesis
University:San Jose State UniversityCandidate:Tare, MeghnaFull Text:PDF
GTID:2453390005989989Subject:Agriculture
Abstract/Summary:
Under current climate change projections, wildfire risk potential can be expected to increase significantly. Increased evaporation due to the increase in temperatures, will lead to more severe and longer-lasting droughts in some areas. Drought is an important indicator of fire in that it affects the amount of available fuel. Because of their low moisture content, fuel becomes available during periods of drought, resulting in more intense fire.; This study will provide useful insights into the interconnections between 21st century climate change, drought, and forest fire for Sequoia National Park based on the Keetch/Byram Drought Index. This wildfire risk potential is based on the highest and lowest intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change emission pathways. It is important to understand and predict the potential of large fires to track the large-scale build up of forest fuels, and to develop warning systems and mitigation measures to protect and conserve the forest ecosystem.
Keywords/Search Tags:Climate change, Wildfire risk, Potential
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