| Although the Sino-US trade friction has a long history,it has never developed into the current situation.Since the Trump administration took office,the Sino-US trade friction has become a hot issue in the current international economy.Meantime,as a country with a large population,China is facing huge population pressure,and this problem will always haunt the national economic.With the rapid development of globalization,solving the employment problem cannot only depend on the stable operation of the domestic economy,but also need to pay attention to the impact of international trade.Electromechanical industry is the pillar industry of China’s foreign trade,which greatly affected by Sino-US trade frictions,and its employment pressure is beginning to show signs.Therefore,it is very necessary and urgent for us to research on the effect of trade friction on the employment of China’s electromechanical industry,and make reasonable suggestions.This page researches the actual impact of trade friction on the employment scale and structure of China’s electromechanical industry from 2010 to 2019,and uses Effective demand model and Relative price changes between products and factors model to explain theory.According to these data and theory above,we used VAR model to explore the impact of China’s electromechanical industry employment on the US tariffs and non-tariff restrictions,then used Orthogonal impulse response function and Forecast-error variance decomposition to explore its dynamic impact process.Research shows: The tariff and non-tariff barriers initiated by the United States are an important factor affecting the employment of China ’s electromechanical industry,and this impact is negative.Besides,from the perspective of dynamic impact,this trade friction has a greater impact and higher contribution to the employment of the electromechanical industry.Based on these conclusions,we make recommendations from the national level,industry level and enterprise level. |
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