Financial Evaluation Of G59 Xinhua To Xinning Expressway In Hunan Province From The Perspective Of Investors

In order to further deepen financing and attract more social capital to participate in the construction of expressways in Hunan Province,the Department of Transportation of Hunan Province invited investors to the public for 13 proposed expressway projects.As a social capital party,in order to more accurately grasp the current status of the regional road network traffic flow,scientifically and reasonably predict the long-term traffic flow of the proposed project,provide reliable data for the financial analysis of the proposed investment project,and provide investment decision-making reference for investors.For this reason,it is very necessary to conduct special research on highway traffic forecast and financial evaluation from the perspective of investors.Based on the G59 Xinhua-Xinning Expressway,the paper first analyzes the relationship between financial evaluation and traffic volume forecasting,and analyzes the characteristics of the regional road network and traffic development planning;secondly,the research determines the current traffic survey plan and conducts the current situation Traffic survey and analysis;then,the research determined the traffic volume forecasting ideas,the research determined the method of obtaining the base year OD matrix and completed the calculation,on this basis,the traffic generation forecast based on the elastic coefficient method,the economic-related inducement model and the The induced traffic distribution prediction calculated by the Delphi method and the total traffic distribution prediction of the channel based on multi-path traffic distribution are calculated to obtain the traffic volume prediction results;finally,on the basis of the long-term traffic volume prediction,the financial costs and financial costs of the project are identified and calculated.Financial benefits,calculated based on the financial indicators at the SPV level and the financial indicators at the investor level,and conducted a risk evaluation on the project based on the analysis of the risk factors of expressway operating benefits.The results of the financial evaluation can provide a reference for the investment decision of investors in the G59 Xinhua-Xinning Expressway Project.The paper provides a theoretical basis for traffic forecasting,financial evaluation and risk evaluation in the evaluation of investment benefits of expressway projects through the study of the main relevant theoretical knowledge.These theories,models and methods have high theoretical and practical value and can be used in the future.Use it for reference in the evaluation of investment benefits of highway construction projects.