Study On The Potential Of China’s Automobile Export Trade To The Eurasian Economic Union

China is a major manufacturing country and a major exporter of finished products.Among them,automobile exports account for an important share of China’s exports of finished products and are the pillar products that drive China’s export growth.However,with the intensification of competition in the traditional international automobile market and the rise of trade protectionism in recent years,the pressure on China’s automobile exports has continued to increase,and the export growth has been weak.Therefore,actively expanding emerging export markets has become an inevitable requirement for the development of China’s automobile export trade.At the same time,each member state of the Eurasian Economic Union is an important object of China’s foreign trade cooperation.Its member states have developed rapidly in economy and have a large demand for automobiles.They have gradually implemented trade facilitation policies and have the ability to export automobiles from China.Basic conditions for emerging potential markets.Based on the literature review of the topic selection,this paper firstly analyzes the current situation of China’s automobile exports to the Eurasian Economic Union from three aspects: export scale,market structure and export characteristics,and then theoretically analyzes the relevant factors affecting China’s automobile exports.Finally,a stochastic frontier gravity model incorporating trade inefficiency was constructed to measure the trade potential value of China’s auto exports to the Eurasian Economic Union,and an empirical analysis of the influencing factors of the trade inefficiency in auto exports was conducted to identify China’s impact on Eurasian economy.The main obstacle to the export of automobiles in the Economic Union.The empirical results show that: first,the total scale of China’s automobile exports to the Eurasian Economic Union has grown rapidly;second,the GDP of China and the importing country,the population of the importing country,whether China and the importing country have a common border,and whether Factors such as members of the same economic organization positively promote the scale of China’s automobile exports to the Eurasian Economic Union,while China’s population and the geographical distance between China and the importing countries inhibit China’s automobile exports to the Eurasian Economic Union countries.scale;third,there are large country-to-country differences in the potential value of China’s auto export trade to the Eurasian Economic Union countries,of which the export potential to Russia is the largest,and the export potential to Armenia is the smallest;fourth,China’s auto exports to the Eurasian Economic Union The gap between the actual trade value and the potential value of trade is mainly caused by the non-efficiency term of trade,while China’s direct investment in the Eurasian Economic Union countries,the real effective exchange rate level of importing countries,trade freedom,currency freedom,government efficiency and other factors can effectively suppress the trade inefficiency factors in automobile exports,which is conducive to promoting the realization of the trade potential of China’s automobile exports to the Eurasian Economic Union.Based on this,this paper puts forward the following suggestions for China’s automobile exports to the Eurasian Economic Union: optimize the export trade structure of China’s automobile products,improve the export supply capacity;accelerate the infrastructure construction of inter-regional interconnection;The investment intensity and investment structure of the Union countries;according to the national conditions,differentiate the market of the Eurasian Economic Union countries.