Financing Conflict Modeling And Policy Design Of Protective Renovation For Historic District

Under the background of strengthening cultural self-confidence,systematic protection and inheritance of precious historical and cultural heritage is of great significance to inherit the excellent historical context,promote the high-quality development of urban and rural construction and develop a strong socialist culture in China.As one of the main carriers of urban historical and cultural heritage,the good protective renovation of historical districts will help to strengthen the cultural confidence of the city and promote the sustainable development of the city.With the public’s increasing awareness of the protection of historical and cultural heritage,the protective renovation of historical districts has also received more and more attention.However,a large number of renovation cases of historical districts show that financing has become one of the main difficulties to promote its development.Especially under the pressure of local fiscal balance in China,the capital gap for renovation of historical districts is large.Therefore,it is of great research significance to scientifically and effectively understand and solve the financing problem of protective renovation of historical districts.In order to identify possible financing conflicts and explore effective solutions,this paper,from the perspective of stakeholders,uses the graph model of conflict resolution(GMCR)theory to establish a financing conflict analysis model for the protective renovation of historical districts.Specifically,by simulating the investment strategies and preferences of the investors(core stakeholders),this paper obtains the investment equilibrium state under the interest game;Analyze the investment equilibrium with conflict of interest to obtain the corresponding financing conflict;Then,aiming at the investment equilibrium state with conflict of interest,the paper uses the inverse graph model of conflict resolution(inverse GMCR)to obtain the investment preference structure that needs to be adjusted in order to solve each financing conflict and achieve the government’s ideal financing model;According to the results of the reverse analysis,this paper takes the policy design as the intervention means of the intervening parties,and designs policies to adjust the investment preferences of the investors,so as to solve the financing conflicts.Through the above research,the following conclusions are drawn:(1)local governments,neighborhood residents and transformation enterprises are the core investors(core stakeholders)of the financing of the protective renovation of historical districts.The three investors have a total of 8 possible investment strategies for the protective renovation of historical districts,and these investment strategies form a total of 256 investment states,while there are only 31 feasible investment States in the actual situation of China;(2)Establish the analysis model of financing conflict in the protective renovation of historical district to simulate the investment strategies and investment preferences of three investors for the protective renovation of historical districts;The 13 most stable investment equilibrium states under the interest game are determined,and the corresponding financing conflicts are obtained by analyzing the 7investment equilibrium states with interest conflicts;(3)The reverse analysis determines the investment preference structure that needs to be adjusted in order to solve various financing conflicts and achieve the government’s ideal financing model;(4)In view of the investment preference structure that needs to be adjusted,the central government,as the intervener,takes policy design as an intervention means,and puts forward four aspects of policy design,including expanding the financing channels of local governments,environmental and economic incentives,public interest protection,communication and coordination.This study aims at modeling the financing conflict of protective renovation of historical districts,and puts forward policy design suggestions according to the modeling results.The research results can reveal the essence of the financing conflict of protective renovation of historical districts and provide decision guidance for the government to formulate the financing policy of protective renovation of historical districts.In addition,this study expands the research perspective of protective renovation financing of historical districts,and enriches the theoretical research on the development of protective renovation of historical districts to a certain extent.