Research On The Measurement And Influencing Factors Of The Integrated Development Level Of Manufacturing And Productive Service Industry

The global industrial restructuring has entered an important window period,and countries around the world have entered the era of service economy.The manufacturing industry and the productive service industry are closely linked,and the two industries are cross-penetrating and the industrial boundary is becoming increasingly blurred,with new industries and new models emerging and the trend of deep integration obvious.At present,China is entering the middle and late stage of industrialization,and the transformation of economic service is the general rule that China’s economic development has to go through.Manufacturing and productive services integration development is not only conducive to cracking the dilemma facing the development of China’s manufacturing industry,but also to promote the transformation and upgrading of the service industry,will strongly promote China’s economic development of high quality.In order to promote the integration of the two industries,the 14 th Five-Year Plan proposes to "accelerate the development of modern service industries,and promote the extension of productive service industries to specialization and the high-end of the value chain.Promote the deep integration of modern service industry with advanced manufacturing and modern agriculture." It can be seen that the integration of manufacturing and productive service industries is not only an objective need,but also an active change to achieve high-quality economic development in China.This thesis firstly composes and reviews the research results on the theory of integration development,integration degree measurement and influencing factors of manufacturing and productive service industries,then constructs the evaluation index system of the two industries,and measures the integration development level of the two industries by using the coupling coordination model.This thesis analyzes the level of industrial integration development from the perspective of time and space,and focuses on the spatial pattern of industrial integration development: the regional differences of industrial integration development are studied by using Dagum Gini coefficient and kernel density estimation;the spatial agglomeration of industrial integration development is studied by using spatial econometric model combined with spatio-temporal leap measurement method.Finally,an empirical study on the spatial spillover effects of the influencing factors of industrial integration development is conducted by establishing a spatial Durbin model.The main findings of this thesis are:(1)The comprehensive development level of China’s manufacturing industry and productive service industry is on the rise during the sample observation period;the comprehensive development level of both industries shows regional differences of decreasing east-west.(2)The overall level of integration of the two industries in China is low,and the current state is barely coordinated,and there are regional differences,with a decreasing pattern in the east and the west,but with a good growth trend.(3)The regional differences in the development of industrial integration in China mainly come from the interregional differences among the three regions.During the sample observation period,the contribution rate of intra-regional differences remained stable;since 2011,the contribution rate of inter-regional differences continued to decline,while the phenomenon of cross-over between regions became more and more obvious.(4)China’s inter-provincial industrial integration development level shows obvious positive spatially related distribution characteristics.The high value agglomeration area of industrial integration development level is mainly concentrated in the eastern and central regions,and the low value agglomeration area is mainly in the western provinces and the three northeastern provinces.The development level of industrial integration in China is mainly leapfrog type Ⅳ,and the spatial and temporal evolution has good steady-state characteristics.(5)The improvement of corresponding variables such as the level of economic development,technological progress,human capital,industrial policy,and synergistic agglomeration of manufacturing and productive service industries in this region can enhance the level of industrial integration development in this region.There is a positive spatial spillover effect of technological progress when considering only the geographical distance factor;while considering both economic proximity and geographical proximity,there is a negative spatial spillover effect of human capital and industrial synergistic agglomeration,and a positive spatial spillover effect of economic development level.