A Study On The Import Trade Potential Of Agricultural Products From RCEP Countries

China is a populous country.With the improvement of people’s living standards,people’s consumption demand is also increasing,and at the same time,the demand for agricultural products is also increasing.In agricultural trade,China has been running a deficit for years,and the study found that deficit is likely to increase further.The present situation of our country agricultural product import agricultural product consumption increases day by day.RCEP member states have made a commitment to gradually reduce tariffs in trade,which means that China’s agricultural products will usher in a large-scale import wave.Therefore,studying the trade potential of agricultural products imported from RCEP countries is conducive to better grip the development direction of bilateral trade.This paper collected and sorted out the agricultural trade data between China and RCEP countries in the past 15 years,and briefly summarized and summarized the status quo and structure of agricultural trade between China and RCEP countries on the basis of data analysis.In the mean time,RCA index and TCI index are used to analyse the export competitiveness of agricultural products of RCEP countries and the complementary relationship with China’s import demand of agricultural products.At present,the concentration of China’s imported products of RCEP countries is high,There is great room for optimizing the trade structure.According to the research purpose,this paper selects appropriate variables to construct the trade gravity model.The model analysis results show that traditional explanatory variables such as GDP have a strong explanatory power on China’s agricultural trade with RCEP,and there is room for further expansion of import trade potential between China and RCEP countries.Based on the full text research,this paper provides some feasible opinions and suggestions for the sustainable and healthy development of agricultural trade between the two countries from the aspects of improving the competitiveness of China’s agricultural products,preventing financial risks and tapping potential countries.