A Study On China’s Trade Security Risks Based On International Trade Regimes

With the blockage in economic globalization in recent years,the global economic and trade pattern reflect obvious characteristics and trends of regionalization.On the one hand,the multilateral trade regime represented by the WTO is facing with challenges,as the Doha Round negotiations are stalled,and the trade dispute settlement mechanism is gradually marginalized.On the other hand,the world economic and trade pattern presents a trend of regionalization,which is reflected in the increasing number of regional trade agreements,and it has become the focus of economic and trade strategies of various countries.Meanwhile,free trade agreements are more closely related to national security strategy,and the relevant provisions of trade agreements involve national economic and trade interests in a higher level.Although the topics of international trade regimes and trade security have been discussed for a long time,the existing literatures rarely involve the interpretation of national trade security from the perspective of international trade regimes.Meanwhile,as the world’s second largest economy entity and the largest country in trade in goods,China is still in a relatively marginal and passive position in the construction process of the international trade regimes.Therefore,this thesis exploring the different risks caused by the current international trade regimes to China’s trade security has both theoretical and practical significance.Based on this,In this paper,the texts of WTO free trade agreements(GATT 1994,GATS,TRIPS),USMCA,EPA,CPTPP,and RCEP trade agreements are used as research objects.With the help of corpus analysis software Ant Conc,this paper categorizes the types of international trade regimes by word frequency test,textual analysis and typology analysis,and analyzes the risks caused by different types of international trade regimes to China’s trade security.The thesis finds out that according to the characteristics of different types of international regimes,their risks to China’s trade security at the present stage are different,so China needs to deal with different trade risk points accordingly.For global international trade regimes,the potential risks lie in the lack of legal basis and authority of the WTO to maintain the stability of international trade environment.Therefore,China should continue to support the WTO by consolidating the legal basis of WTO,and protecting the interests in developing countries.For competitive international trade regimes,the potential risks lie in the negative influences of the US’s changing methods of constructing international trade regimes.Therefore,China should push forward its economic cooperation with neighboring countries,especially in the field of new trade areas;for parallel international trade regimes,the potential risks lie in the economic and political impedes towards China to participate in those trade regimes.Therefore,China should improve its own ability of constructing trade rules,and keep searching trade relations between developed countries;for complementary international trade regimes,the potential risks lie in certain articles of RCEP,which are in the disadvantages of the level of openness.Therefore,China should push forward the regional integration of the Asian-Pacific region with the participation of RCEP,and seek possibilities of ChinaJapan-South Korea free trade zones.Finally,the thesis states that China should put forward the “China’s solutions” in actively participating in the construction of international trade regimes,that is,to build a new type of international trade regimes system through the principle of equality,mutual benefit and friendly consultation.This new type of trade regimes system should include a global trade regime with legal power and normal operation,as well as a number of regional trade regimes with achieve coexistence,complementarity,mutual competition and common development.