Simulation Study On The Development Of Intelligent Express Cabinet In The End Distribution Of E-Commerce Logistics

The application and popularization of network technology and the development of mobile payment have promoted the great development and prosperity of China’s ecommerce,and also led to the rapid development of e-commerce logistics industry.With the change of people’s consumption mode,consumers also put forward higher requirements for e-commerce logistics service level.However,the end distribution of ecommerce logistics in China is under the dual pressure of low distribution efficiency and insufficient labor force.In order to improve the quality of service,major e-commerce and logistics enterprises have turned their eyes to the innovative distribution mode of intelligent express cabinet.However,at present,China’s intelligent express cabinet is still in the initial stage of development,and the rate of express delivery into the cabinet is low.How to promote the rapid development of the intelligent express cabinet industry is not only the concern of the e-commerce logistics industry,but also the need of China’s social development.Based on the above background,this paper builds a system dynamics model for the development of intelligent express cabinet,and studies its future development trend through model simulation.Based on the research status and related theories.Firstly,analyze the current situation of terminal distribution of e-commerce logistics,then qualitatively analyze the driving factors of the development of intelligent express cabinet,determine the boundary of the system based on the analysis of the driving factors of the development of intelligent express cabinet and the existing research results.Divide the development system of intelligent express cabinet into economic subsystem,e-commerce logistics subsystem and intelligent express cabinet system,then analyze the correction analysis the key elements within the system.On this basis,built the system dynamics model of the development of intelligent express cabinet,collected the data for simulation analysis and tested the model,analyze the future development trend of the system.Finally,by setting up six different simulation scenarios,compare the simulation data of key variables in the model system.The results show that the overall development trend of intelligent express cabinet in China is good.Increasing the utilization rate of the compartment of express delivery cabinets can obviously improve the current situation of labor shortage at the end.At the same time,the research results show that only increasing the investment coefficient of the intelligent express cabinet has no improvement effect on the current situation of the industry,but will push back its profit point in the simulation cycle.Finally,according to the research results,put forward some suggestions for the development of the intelligent express cabinet industry,which can also provide reference for the relevant decisionmaking of the government.