| At present, there are two major basic concepts in people's research in policy. One view little and fine to born population, population the increasing rate lowered by oneself the sooner the better; Can not consider the size of population singly , should carry on research to the population policy synthesizing in terms of people's development in another kind of view. The expert who holds first kind of view proposes: "The long-range objective of Chinese population development is: China population is it drop to 800 million to strive , drop to 300 million after the 2000 , is it continue present policies of insisting to want for this reason after the one year, the population policy even tighter than now is 100 to 200 years. "We think this is impractical. This text describes from a lot of angles, if develop according to this kind of scheme, 100 years later, the old population over 65 will account for 40.3% of total population, it will rise to more than 50% 200 years later, even higher. What such age composition made up is a kind of old and feeble society, most people will only consume, can't be engaged in producing. This will be the unprecedented most serious " population crisis " of human society . Discuss what developing continuously and population is safe? So, the important view of this text is, must see the amount of the size of population , under different historical conditions , to the economic and social development, different function exists. After our country's questions of people are solved tentatively , must not set up developing economy and social progress on the basis of reducing population , pursue population to be little and fine , establish one population , economy and society , resource , environment develop in harmony and scale and system of sustainable development.
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