The Measurement Of Maritime Carbon Emissions Of China’s Export Goods And Empirical Analysis Of Influential Factors

With the rapid development of economy and the growth of trade, China’s shipping industry comes to a period of rapid development. The shipping industry has become a bridge and link of international trade. More than90percent of global goods are delivered by shipping. With the significant increase in freight volume, carbon emissions generated by transport are increasing annually. IMO has drew up rules called<the International Convention for the Prevention of Pollution from Ships>, now known universally as MARPOL to restrict the maritime carbon emissions. Therefore, it is academically necessary to measure the maritime carbon emissions of China’s export goods and explore the influence degree of the various factors on China’s maritime carbon emissions to boost the development of China’s green shipping industry.There are two main sources of carbon emissions during international trade:the production of traded goods, and their transportation. Although the carbon emissions generated by international transport in total global emissions is little, it occupies a certain proportion in the trade-related emissions by international transport. By reviewing the relative researches of the concept and measure methods of carbon emissions, this paper attempts to point a new research direction by summing up various reviews on determinants of carbon emissions generated by international transport. After comparing the Input-Output Method, Life Cycle Assessment and STIRFDT model, maritime carbon emissions of China’s export goods trading with25partners from2000to2012are measured by STIRFDT model. By applying the qualitative and quantitative methods, this paper attempts to make an empirical analysis on influential factors of the maritime carbon emissions of China’s export goods. The main conclusions are presented in the following. Firstly, maritime carbon emissions of China’s export goods have a significant increase by537.28%. Secondly, the main reason leads to a rise of the maritime carbon emissions of China’s export goods is the substantial increase in freight volume. Thirdly, the decrease of carbon emission coefficient by the extension of new technology and new energy and the increase of ports infrastructure and operating level can restrict the carbon emissions, but this cannot far offset the increase of carbon emissions by the increase of freight volume. Fourthly, maritime carbon emissions have a positive correlation with oil price because of the increasing maritime enterprise costs.At last our conclusions based on learning the experience of other countries bring about the following proposals:(1)Accelerate the adjustment of the economic structure, reduce the weight of export goods.(2)Map out an appropriate maritime plan, improve the level of maritime organization and management.(3)Optimize the structure of the ship capacity, reduce the carbon emission coefficient.(4)Strengthen the research and development efforts, promote international technical cooperation.(5)Focus on the training of logistics professionals, reduce the enterprise operating costs.(6)The government should play a guiding role and enhance the department ability of supervision and service.