Analysis Of Carbon Emissions From Chinese Residential Direct Energy Consumption And Research On Emission Reduction Paths

China has put forward the target of reaching the peak of carbon emissions in 2030 and carbon neutrality in 2060,with higher requirements for the deployment of energy saving and emission reduction plans.Residential energy demand increases with the quality of life and becomes an important source of regional carbon growth.However,the residential emission reduction work is in the exploratory stage,and lacks comprehensive research content and effective promotion measures to ensure that residents complete the transformation of low-carbon life and coordinate the relationship among economy,environment and energy.To solve the above problems,this paper selected representative provinces from the eight major economic regions of China as the research object,useing the equivalent electricity method to calculate the direct domestic energy consumption of urban and rural residents from 2005 to 2018,and adopted the IPCC carbon emission coefficient method to estimate related carbon emissions.The LMDI model and Theil index were used to analyze the per capita direct carbon emissions from temporal dimension and spatial dimension,and analyzed its temporal and spatial changes and mechanism of action.The influencing factors obtained from the LMDI model decomposition were taken as constraint conditions,combining with national policy goals and historical data speculation to adjust the condition parameters.The three household energy consumption development models were set as baseline scenario,low-carbon scenario and enhanced low-carbon scenario,predicting the direct domestic energy consumption and carbon emission indexes of Chinese residents in2030,and and judged the development direction of low-carbon life.Drawing lessons from foreign experience,this paper proposed a low-carbon energy management plan for the application of FC-CHP systems to Chinese families,and used life cycle assessment models to quantify its environmental load and energy consumption,and comprehensively evaluated the feasibility of its application in Chinese families through the benefit calculation which used the energy consumption forecast data in the scenario analysis as household energy load,and estimated its emission reduction potential under the peak target.Finally,based on the research content,the path of household emission reduction in different regions is proposed to guide residents to practice low-carbon and efficient energy consumption life.The results show that the per capita direct carbon emissions of Chinese residents are in a growing development trend,and there is a spatial imbalance,and the effect of the impact factors varies with time and region.Per capita income is the basic driving force for the growth of direct carbon emissions of Chinese residents.The residential direct carbon emissions will still maintain an increasing trend in the natural state.Some provinces can achieve effective control of carbon emissions by the enhanced low-carbon scenario in 2030.Low-carbon technology investment and increasing energy price system are effective ways to curb carbon emissions.FC-CHP system has significant emission reduction benefits,and its commercial applications can be promoted through national economic subsidy policies,and gradually enter Chinese households to promote carbon emissions in daily life to reach the peak goal.In the future,the development path of residential emission reduction in China will follow the comprehensive governance model of low-carbon technology and highefficiency energy.