Village Development And New Countryside Construction

The objective of New Countryside Construction should be meet only if the disparity in the inner of the rural district as well as that in the urban-rural district become narrower in the meantime, namely, the convergence among the villages should be an indicator for the successful construction. Using the panal datas from the investigation on the 40 villages in the suburban of Beijing City, the disseration analyzes the convergence characteristics of the 40 villages in two dimesions:income(per capital income ; PCIN) and asset accumulation(per capital owner's net property ;PCOP) in the village(namely, the per capital net accomulation of the village-collective). The dissertation finds out the main factors influcing the dyamic change orientation of the village population amount by a logit model. Finally, a set of indicator system for evaluating the village's sustained development ability and a stratagic framework for the new countryside is founded.The tasks of the chapter 1 is a introduction for a few of the basic and necessary issues of the dissertation: motivation, objection and the methods and so on.Specially, three questions are asked:'what are the stylized facts across the village development','what are the variables influcing the dyamic change tendency of the village development','What is the meaning for New Countryside Construction according to the tendency'.Including the chapter 2 to 3, the theory basis and concepts as well as the related papers collection are set up.Then, as the main body of the dissertation, the chapter 4 to 6, draw the conclusions about the stylized facts across the village development and about the convergence characteristics for the PCIN has both theβ-convergence and theδ-convergence, but the PCOP has only theβ-(conditional)convergence . The village characteristics shape the untility function of the farmers in the village and set up a incentive mechanism for the labours or members of the households to move out or stay still. In chapter 7, a logit analysis on the population change of the villages is carried out and the variables influcing the change is found out.Chapter 8 and chapter 9 belong to the application parts of the dissertation, the envalue systems and New Countryside Construction stratage are set up. The dissertation is summarized in the chapter 10.In short, the contribution of the dissertation can be classified in five points. In the first place, the dissertation draws the stylized facts about the village development and set up a dyamic model hypothesis for the village development; Secondly, using the convergence methods offers a argument for the hypothesis and finds the facts that both theβ-convergence and theδ-divergence appear in the mean time; And then, explain the reasons for village population change trends; Meanwhile,for a practical application for policy makers , based on the research above, a factor analysis method is introduced and set up a system of indicators to envalue on the ability for the village sustainable development. Finally, a strategic framework for New Countryside Construction is constituted, the core idea of which is to boost the convergence and conglomeration across villages at the same time.