Floods,Drought And Agricultural Sustainable Development In Hubei Province

While thinking how to implement and promote sustainable development of agriculture, so that to solve such a series of problems as the resource shortage, environmental pollution and ecological disruption faced, etc., the human is often apt to ignore that the resource shortage, environmental pollution and ecological disruption would cause agricultural disaster. Agricultural disaster will cause agricultural unsustainable development or weaken the ability of sustainable development, and agriculture is the foundation of human's survival and development; The sustainable development of agriculture is the foundation of the human society and the sustainable development of economy. Without sustainable development of agriculture, it is impossible to accomplish the sustainable development of human society and economy. So disaster prevention and reduction of agriculture becomes the difficult problem, which can't be avoided in the process of agricultural development. Hubei province stands in the middle range of Changjiang River, lies in the north of Dongting Lake; the contradiction among economic construction and resource, environment, ecology, population growth is very conspicuous. And Hubei is one of the minority provinces of our country, where the natural disaster is very serious, threaten biggest with the floods and droughts particularly, and it is most frequent to happen, and the coverage is the widest. So, whether Hubei province could realize floods and droughts prevention and reduction effectively or not is the big problem that concerns the sustainable development of the whole area, and the country too. This is the basic starting point studied by the thesis.Including introduction, there are eight chapters in this thesis. Chapter one is the introduction. It expounds the background, purpose, meaning, thinking, method and frame of the research mainly. Chapter two is the description and appraisal on floods and droughts history in Hubei, and put forth effort to analyze the development trend of floods and droughts of Hubei. Chapter three is the thought between floods and droughts, agricultural sustainable development.This chapter regards developmental course of relation of people and natural as the starting point, has studied the relation between floods and droughts, agricultural sustainable development, and stays in the dialectical view of "reducing natural disasters is the development" at last. Chapter four researches the impact on agricultural sustainable development of Hubei of floods and droughts systematically. And among them use C-Dfunction to analyze the impact on social economy in Hubei of the floods and droughts especially. Chapter five use the method of mathematics and economic to test and assess the impact on agricultural sustainable development of Hubei of the floods and droughts. This chapter is on the basis of using the approach of analysis of the main composition to calculate out the index of agriculture sustainable development level in Hubei, have carried on relevant analysis to analyze the sustainable development level of agriculture of Hubei and the direct economic losses of disaster that floods and droughts caused, and have reflected the influencing degree to agricultural sustainable development of Hubei of the floods and droughts intuitively. Chapter six analyzed the disaster prevention and reduction behavior of peasant households in terms of economics. Based on this, it has explained how the government should adjust and controls the behavior of disaster prevention and reduction of peasant households. On the foundation of the above analysis, chapter seven of thesis uses system economics to analyze the management mode of natural disaster of our country and it's drawback of the present stage thoroughly, and use the development trend of the disaster management of the countries all over the world for reference, and has probed into the principle and strategic measure of reconstructing and improving the system of agricultural disaster prevention and reduction of Hubei. Chapter eight proceed with technological innovation theory, explain the connotation, characteristic and function of technological innovation of disaster reduction of agriculture systematically, use the theory of public articles to probe into the technological innovation mode of the reduction of disaster of agriculture, and have put forward the policy choice of promoting technological innovation of the reduction of disaster of agriculture on the basis of analyzing the restriction factor faced in technological innovation of the reduction of disaster of agriculture in detail.There are a lot of documents studied about the floods and droughts, the research documents about agricultural sustainable development are more voluminous, but the research that can combine the two together is actually rare. So the selected title itself is worth opening up and innovating. In addition, this innovation on content system and methodology of the thesis should mainly reflect in several following respects:First, the article has explained the natural disaster and the agricultural sustainable development dialectical relations. Under the great background of building well-to-do level in an all-round way, the floods and droughts nearly become the bottleneck in the process of soaring of Hubei. The human being just realizes that the natural disaster has hindered agricultural sustainable development seriously. The present paper has explained the natural disaster and the agricultural sustainable development dialectical relations from a new angle.Second, the article systematically constructed the system and technical innovation pattern of Hubei agriculture disaster prevention and reduction. Presently, the system of agricultural disaster prevention and reduction of Hubei have many problems, The paper integrated disaster management tendency of various countries, based on government primarily principle, many main bodies principle, sustainable principle, benefit principle and prevention primarily principle, Systematically constructed disaster prevention and reduction system including the disaster legal system, the disaster education system, the disaster management system, the disaster safeguard system and so on. The paper takes the technical innovation related theory as the instruction, proposed that the establishment of agriculture disaster prevention and reduction technology innovation pattern which taking government supplies as leading factor. In this foundation, Paper proposed the corresponding policies which promote agriculture disaster reduction technology innovation in view of faces which restrict the agricultural disaster reduction technology innovation.Third, the paper use principal components analytic method and correlation analytic method analysis the effect which flood and drought disaster produce on agricultural sustainable development system. The paper apply principal components analytic method and correlation analytic method to analyze the systematic influence of the floods and droughts on the agricultural sustainable development, so as to describe the influence of floods and droughts on the whole system of the agricultural sustainable development and the sequencing of influence result, thus finding out the principal contradiction of the question, and then offering guidance for system innovation and technological innovation of disaster prevention and reduction.Fourth, the paper grasp the essence of peasant household's behavior against natural disasters carrying on the economic perspective. This article analyzes the behavior of disaster prevention and reduction of peasant households in terms of economics, and offers the economics basis for government behavior of controlling agricultural disaster prevention and reduction.