Study On Evaluation And Risk Management Of Cooperative Technological Innovation Project

The cooperative technological innovation is that the enterprises cooperate with each other, sharing of resources, having complementary advantages and conducting a joint technical innovation, to enhance their core competitiveness. In recent years, with the increasingly fierce international competition, the enterprise need to sharpen their core competitive ability by the technological innovation , as individual enterprise is difficult to achieve innovation with the limitations in funds, echnology, talent and equipment, but the enterprise is able to develop, reducing dependence on itself and lowing the innovation risk to a certain extent, through the cooperate technological innovation with other enterprises. Therefore, the enterprise cooperative technological innovation has become an important form of technological innovation.The cooperative technological innovation is proved to be an important way to increase the competitiveness of enterprises effectively in practice, also is a strong driving force in development of scientific technological and in the growth of economic, so it is accepted by the enterprise more and more.However, There are also many risks with technological innovation cooperation, a large number of case studies show that about 50% result of innovative cooperation is considered to be dissatisfied or fail by the member enterprise.It is easy to cause innovation risk, that the asymmetric information of the enterprises, the uncertainty and complexity of innovation. So the study on the risk of cooperation technology innovation is also paid attention to by many scholars increasingly. At present, most of the literature mainly is concentrated on the theory of cooperative technological innovation and the research of risk early warning, the study on the entire proceeding of technological innovation is less, and the direction to practice is lack for the cooperative technological innovation. This paper attempt to study the entire process of cooperative technological innovation, propose some workable quantitative analysis methods and treatment measures with the characteristic of enterprise cooperative technological innovation, and carry on the empirical analysis about the cooperation innovation among the subordinate enterprise of Hunan Nonferrous Group.This paper focuses on the project evaluation in selection process and the risk management of the cooperative technological innovation. Project evaluation is the basis step for the selection of projects, also is an important step of cooperative technological innovation.The risk management is an important means to obtain the success of the cooperative technological innovation project. The key ideas and contributions of this thesis are briefly summarized as follows:(1) On analysising and sorting out the related literature of the cooperative technological innovation > the cooperative technological innovation project-evaluation and the cooperative technological innovation risk management, the relevant concepts of the cooperative technological innovation is cleared up, the model of the cooperative technological innovation is redefined, the bas theory is provided for the cooperative technological innovation project-evaluation and risk management.(2) The article creates the index system of assessment for cooperative technological innovation project with questionnaire and interview in several enterprise.In view of the characteristic of cooperative technological innovation project and Lacks of serviceability of assessment indicator system, the index system of assessment and optimizes methods for index system have been established in the advice of many participant from different profession and different specialty, using the rough set theory.(3)The article studies the project evaluation methods of the cooperative technological innovation. According to cooperative technological innovation project characteristic and actual situation, in the process of project evaluation, that the appraisal given by the policy-maker and the expert is usually a fuzzy number, so interval number fuzzy clustering method is proposed as the first step to appraisal cooperative technological innovation project, it is advantageous for the enterprises to select some projects with investment value from the large number of project with technical problems.And then the random simulation is used for the further step to appraisal cooperative technological innovation project, to enhance the probability of success of the cooperative technological innovation projects. (4) The article focuses on the risk management of the cooperative technological innovation project. First, in view of cooperation innovation project characteristic, the risk recognition methods has been studied, and the risk indicator system for the cooperative technological innovation has been constructed.Then, according to the uncertainty and fuzziness of the risk assessment for the cooperation innovation, the two-tuple appraisal method has been set up, which uses the ordered weighted averaging(OWA) to appraise the risk of the cooperative technological innovation project, and the risk early warning model with the evidence inference and the artificial neural networks algorithm has been proposed, which can provides the reference and the auxiliary decision-making for the policy-maker to guard and manage the risk of the enterprise.(5) The method with the theory and the practice is used to carry on the empirical analysis on the cooperation innovation among the Hunan Nonferrous Group.Taking the cooperative technological innovation project brought forward by Corp. interior enterprise as object for study, the article checks the calculation of the appraisal analysis, the risk recognition and the risk early warning with the cooperation innovation project of the Hunan Nonferrous Group, from the theoretical and practical aspects, demonstrating that the evaluation index system, evaluation methods, risk identification, risk assessment, risk early warning and risk control strategy of the cooperative technological innovation project being submitted of the previous article is correct and effective.