Research On Risk Management Of Urban Informatization

As an important component of our National Informatization, Urban Informatization demands large investment and a long period. Besides, huge risks involved in the entire process of urban informatization also makes it necessary to introduce Risk Management Theory, combining with urban informatization system characteristic, to urban informatization for an effective management of the risks.However, there is little research on this at present. What's more, the research is isolated and non-systematic. They mainly focus on qualitative method and thus the results are more theoretical than maneuverable. Starting from the analysis of urban informatization risk theory, the thesis mainly studies the identification, evaluation, control and prevention of major risks in urban informatization in order to find a scientifically theoretical basis and a maneuverable method for the urban informatization risk management in China. Comprehensive system analysis, AHP-Fuzzy evaluation, real diagnosis analysis, qualitative and quantitative methods are used in the thesis.In the thesis a systematic survey of urban informatization and risk management is firstly made on the urban informatization risk management home and abroad which reveals the necessity and importance of risk management. Secondly, by using system theory, a theoretical analysis is made on the risks in order to illustrate its characteristics, classification, quantification and management content and process. Thirdly, based on target-guidance five risks are identified in order to define the major risk factors in the process of urban informatization. The five risks are strategic risk, technological application risk, urban management risk, personnel risk and social environment risk. Fourthly, an index system of urban informatization risk is established on the basis of risk identification. Analysis and evaluation of the risks are carried out by using AHP-Fuzzy method and a maneuverable conclusion is made through case study. Last, risk management and prevention system are established on the basis of risk factors and a controlling strategy of risk management is put forward.