Research On The Influencing Factors Of Farmers' Afforestation Investment Behaviors

With the development of national economy and social, the contradiction between the supply of forest resources and industry development is becoming increasingly conspicuous, and the insufficient of wood supply being more serious. Currently, it is more dangerous durring this present period that forest resources have been exhausted 365 million m3 on the average annual, there are 100-150 million m3 timber shortages, and the pressure caused by the timber demand on the forest resources in a tight situation. Timber comprehensive utilization rate have only 60% during this present period, having huge difference with developed country. Therefore, it have played an important role on solving the preblem of timber shorages and the protection of ecological forest resources for the development of rural economy and social throght starting up afforestation investment actively. Since the reform and opening policy, with the deepen reform of economic system and investment system, especially after the reform of the system of collective forest rights, the subject of investment have significant changed because of national forest property right system reform. According to statistic in 2007, forest area of contract households reach up to 660 million acres, taking up collective forest to 27.5%, and about three-tenth forestland having been the reform of collective forest right.Farmer households have taken up dominant in the new subject of investment structure, and become the basic subject of investment. The ability and propensity of investment had considerable influence on forest investment. Resently, it is clearly insufficient on driving up economic growth by afforestation investment of farmer households, what the many main factors that makes progress or success for afforestation investment of farmer households difficult is the major cause.The study is based on the actual situation of Fujian Province, throght questionnaire survey of farmer households and combination of the corresponding literature, based on behavioral characteristics analysis of farmers' afforestation investment, and theoretical analysis of the main factors of the impact on farmers'afforestation investment, find out what the main factors of the impact on farmers'afforestation investment behavior, including:(1)the factors of farmers'subject characteristics, including age of household head, the education level of household head, yes or no CPC member, yes or no a village cadre, schooling members, the number of farm laborers, income of farmer households, forset income per capita in the last year, wages income;(2).the factors of production and operation characteristics, including the number of forest species, the number of forestland plot, Area of forestland, distance from family, immature forest, yes or no forest property right card, fertility of forestland, whether or not surface water, a gradient of forestland, be familiar with forestry; (3) the factors of external environment characteristics, including the source of fund, the acquisitive for fund, the sale of forest product in market, the price of forest product, market information, the prospect of forestry, dissension ponderance of forest ownership, the risk awareness of farmers, easy available of forestland, policy of logging quota, policy of charging forestland rent, government subsidies, forestry. expenses of taxation. Meanwhile, in order to understand and grasp these infrencing factors, descriptive statistics related to these infrencing factors, which we have a basic of understanding and grasp on the importance of the impact factors on farmers'afforestation investment. On base of these analysis, setting up the reseach model of Logisitic model and Multiple Linear Regression model and using the SPSS analysis software to carry quantitative analysis towards the factors which influence farmers' afforestation investment, to seeing about whether these factors come into being and the degree of each function effect and importantive respectively, and carry research on the different areas investment respectively and the carry on contrast analysis.At last, according to the result of the theoretical and empirical analysis, policy suggestions were put forward with the target carrying out.This paper is divided into eight major part, as follow:The first part, introduction, expounds on the meaning of research background, opinion review of related research, research objectives and key issues to be resolved, the research methods, techniques and content of the framework route. The second part, mainly analyzes the present situation and the problem of farmers'afforestation investment. The third part, focuses on the behavior characteristics of farmers'afforestation investment, and that is, from an overall grasp on the behavior of farmers'afforestation investment to further analyze and expound by economy theory. The fourth part, builds the frame of the theoretical analysis on the infrencing factors of farmers'afforestation investment. The fifth part, on basis of the survey data of farmers in county of Fujian province, descriptive analysis related to the affecting factors of farmers'afforestation investment. The sixth part, apply Logit model and Multiple Linear Regression model to analyze on the affecting factors of the farmers' afforestation investment by establishing econometric model. The seventh part, according to the model conclusion, several suggestions for guiding farmer households to invest actively were proposed. The egihtth part, summarizes the Pending questions for further discussion.The results of the study show that, as follow:(1)The factors which influence the farmers'afforestation investment behavior can be divided into these types, as follows:education level of household head, the number of farm laborers, income of farmer households, forset income per capita in the last year, wages income, Area of forestland, how to be familiar with forestry, risk of afforestation intestment, the acquisitive for fund, the sale of forest product in market, policy of logging quota.(2)Based on the Analysis of Multiple Linear Regression model, and acquiring every affecting factors, as follows:First, the factor of farmer laborers, area of forestland and risk awareness are different of that of expectation, but others being. Second, the factors of wage income and the acquisitive for funds had not significant influence on investment afforestation, the factors of farmer laborers and logging quota had a little, but others affecting significantly.Tird,the factor of regional dummy variable having significant influence on afforestation investment, showing that there are difference affecting from three regional because of regional difference factor, since the difference of management, geographical conditions, climate, and so on, leading to the difference of farmers' afforestation investment behavior, but modest on the range.(3)According to the importance degree, the factors which influence the peasants' forest investment behavior as follow:the number of farm laborers, forset income per capita in the last year, education level of household head, be familiar with forestry, the sale of forest product in market, regional factor, area of forestland, the risk awareness of farmer, the acquisitive for fund, policy of logging quota, wages income.(4)Generally speaking, farmers'afforestation, investment behavior lies in different regions in Nanping, Sanming and Longyan, and It's just this regional different factor resulting in different impact on investment behavior in different regions.(5)omparative analysis on different factors, as follow:First, the five factors of farmer laborers, forest income, area of forest land, risk awareness of farmers, policy of logging quota, which influence farmers' afforestation investment in Nanping, the factors of forest income, being familiar with forest and the. acquisitive for funds in Sanming, the factors of forest income, being familiar with forest, risk awareness, the acquisitive for funds in Longyan. Second, the three factors of education level of household head, wage income, the sale of forest product in market are not significant influence. Tird, the three factors of farmer laborers, area of forestland, policy of logging quota are not significant influence in Sanming and Longyan, but being significant influence in Nanping;Fourth, the two factors of being familiar with forest and the acquisitive for funds are not significant influence in Nanping, but being significant influence in Sanming and Longyan. Fifth, the factors of risk awareness of farmers are not significant influence in Sanming, but being significant influence in Nanping and Longyan. Finally, all of the factors, only the factors of forest income are significant influence in three regions. To sum up, the condition of Sanming is similar to Longyan, but being different from Nanping.(6) Comparative analysis on contants, the three regions are different appearantly, it means that the difference of management, technogly, struture, geographical conditions, climate, and so on, and leading to the difference of farmers'afforestation investment behavior in different regiona.Finally, based on the results of the empirical analysis, and put forward the corresponding countermeasures, improving farmers' afforestation investment effectively.