| In our social lives, conflict exists widely as a common phenomenon of life. For example, in the field of politics, there are the conflicts of overall national interests and local interests between the central government and local governments(such as the problems of purchasing real estate properties, where there is a conflict between the restriction of the central government and the need for fiscal revenue of local governments), and the conflict between the opposition party and the ruling party(such as the political conflicts between the democratic and republican parties in the United States, and the multiple parties in Japan that fight over the office of prime minister). In the economic field, different countries are in constant trade struggles and trade wars, such as the price conflict between OPEC and the petroleum importing countries in Europe and the United States, and conflicts among the OPEC member states, and the dispute between the European Union and China over the wind power industry, etc., the conflicts between multinational companies, interest groups for their competition for market shares. For example, such companies as Gome, Rain Moisture, and others flight over the market shares of Chinese electrical appliances market. And, within a family, the family members might fight over the distribution of consumer goods, such as the conflicts between parents and children about their living allowances. In the military field, conflict problem is more obvious and intense. For example, during the time period of warring states, seven states fought for the control of leadership; in the late eastern Han dynasty, there was a fight among three kingdoms; there was the territorial dispute among Song, Liao and Jin in Song Dynasty; there is currently the diaoyu islands dispute between China and Japan; and there are South China Sea disputes among China, Philippines, Vietnam and other southeast Asian countries; and Syria is currently experiencing a civil war, and Iran faces a major international crisis over its nuclear programs, etc. In the cultural field, there has been long lasting conflict between the Western and different Christian sects. Different religions, such as Buddhism, Daoism, Christianity, Islam, etc., have prospered and declined in various geographic areas. Between civilizations, there have been clashes, such as those between Persian civilization with the ancient Roman civilization and those between Chinese civilization and Western Civilization. It can be said that the problem of conflicts exists everywhere; it permeates in every corner of our lives, ranging from such large scales as the fights over the control of natural recourses, to skirmishes between states, to such small scales as to the emotional problems of couples, personal time managements. On different levels and to different degrees, this problem of conflicts affects people’s lives, and has become the focus of attention of personal affairs and managerial considerations, which have attracted the interest of decision makers, scholars in academia, and officials of government agencies.Generally speaking, by conflict it means the formation of such a state that two or more individuals or groups take appropriate action for their respective interests in order to achieve the purpose of victory over others. And it is produced in a system within which the parties pursue their perspective goals so that opposition(s) appears. Because all the parties involved in the conflict exist in one system, they are mutually interrelated. As their pursuits of goals are opposite of each other, the parties are not only restricted and contacted, but also opposite and unified, forming a variety of conflict forms. In order to get better understanding of conflict, to resolve conflicts successfully, to reduce the necessity to avoid the conflict to elevate, to promote the conflicting parties to live together in peace, and to maintain the system in a good operation order and development state, scholars treat conflicts as a kind of independent problem to study systematically in order to establish methods useful for conflict analysis.Based on the aim of enriching and developing the theory system of conflict analysis, the paper in-depth studied conflict problem description,analysis of countermeasures, modeling method improvement and modeling optimization of conflict analysis, conflict evolution control, etc, and the main achievements of this paper are as follows.(1)The thought and methodology of the system yoyo model, classical conflict analysis and conflict analysis method of rough set is used to respectively redefine and reconstruct the F-H conflict analysis method and conflict analysis model of rough set, and realize the organic unity of the existing conflict analysis methods. Based on the intuitionistic fuzzy set, the paper constructs the intuitionistic fuzzy conflict analysis model, and defines the conflict function and conflict alliance, and it can effectively overcome the problems that the shortcomings that the players have only three attitudeswith respect to the issues of concern, and the conflict information system based on the rough set is too stiff to describe and portray real-life conflict problems so that the model contains inconsistence with the problems of actual conflict analysis, which lead to the difficulty in terms of developing a set of strategies that are relatively satisfactory for each decision maker or alliance involved the system.Based on Markov chain, the paper respectively establishesdynamic conflict analysis model and dynamic intuitionistic conflict analysis model to effectively describe the dynamic changes of a realistic conflict information system, and analyze the conflict evolution of the system and the stability of the system, predict the possibility of conflict situation development, adopt corresponding strategies.(2) In view of the fact that there does not the unified framework theory and better tools to operate the programming on the computer of conflict analysis, based on classical conflict analysis, conflict analysis method of rough set, game theory and graph model, the paper constructs the general conflict analysis model with two sets ofinformation system. With respect to the conflict problems that the conflict events are independent and interrelated, the paper respectively sets up3 D conflict analysis modelbased on incomplete information and conflict analysis model with constraints, and designs the algorithm to solve the equilibrium conflict state. The general conflict analysis model can organically unify the existing models and methods of conflict analysis, enrich and develop the theory system of conflict analysis.(3) Super conflict problems are closely related to our life, which it possesses the important theoretical value and application value to study, however, there does not exist super conflict analysis model to deal with. In view of this, this paper puts forward the concept of super conflict equilibrium, and then according to the numbers of players in conflict system, the paper studies and constructs the single super conflict analysis model and two kinds of super conflict analysis model with two layers based on the thought and method of Yoyo model, rough set theory, game theory. The super conflict analysis models can depict and do with the super conflict problems with one or more super players, and expand the modeling objects of the conflict analysis model from the cases with the equal position and the symmetric information to the caseswith the power imbalance. The proposed super conflict analysis modelsenrich and develop the methods of conflict analysis and expand the field of application.(4) Monitoring and regulating the evolution of the conflict system to make it to reach our aims is much more important content to solve conflict problems. Based on the control theory and general system theory, with respect to the two kinds of conflict problems that the conflict evens are mutual independent and there exist much super players and many general players, the paper respectively constructs the conflict stability model super conflict stable model with two layers to enhance the conflict analysis model of the actual operation and application, and exploit them to respectively the currency wars and the conflict problems between main manufacturers and suppliers. |
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