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The Research In Finance Decision For Chinese Urbanization

Posted on:2012-02-15Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:M Y FuFull Text:PDF
GTID:1269330392469803Subject:Management Science and Engineering
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Urbanization plays a great role in promoting economy development, intensiveutilization of resources, and industrial agglomeration. Funds is the key factor ofurbanizaion, therefore, financing is the key step in the process of it。How to optimizefinancing scheme of urbanization and reduce financing cost and risk, is the commonsubject for theory and practice field. At present, literature on urbanization mainlyfocuses on the theory, however, research results on the practice of urbanization arefew. The dissertation mainly focuses on case study of financing decision-making ofurbanization in Tianjin, The main work and innovations of the dissertation include:1. Driving factors of urbanization development are proposed, and mainly influenceof the urbanization is analyzed, also, development tendency of the urbanization ispredicted. Mainly development cases home and abroad are comparatively analyzed.Drving factors of policy, technics, demand, society, etc, are mainly analyzed.Development tendenchy of small town, park industry, facility agriculture, and townconstruction is proposed.2. Based on time series theory, invest demand prediction model of urbanization isformulated. On the basis of analysis and measure of mainly project of urbanization,total invest of real estate of urbanization is predicted, and invest in different time isalso predicted by using the prediction model, and dynamic factors which have aneffect on demand change of funds. Whats more, total finaning amount of financialmarket, government revenue and expenditure and debt-paying ability is analyzed,self-collecting capital of company and supply of other capital are also analyzed orpredicted.3. Using present modern financing mode, according to real situation of urbanizationof Tianjin, finacing mode and structure of urbanization development adabted toTianjin is analyzed, and financing scheme for urbanization development of Tianjin isproposed. Based on fuzzy prefferece relations and fuzzy aggregation operator,selection model of financing scheme is formulated, and case study is made, andapplication of the model is illustrated, scientificity and applicability of the selectionmethod for financing scheme is validated.4. Safeguard measures of urbanization financing in Tianjin is proposed. Keyfinancing projects is difined by analysis on project rating, project selection and projectdevelopment schedule. Safeguard measures of enhancing multilateral cooperation, standing out financing emphasis, enhancing financing institutions to provid moresurport for urbanization construction, and enlarging financing channel are proposed.
Keywords/Search Tags:Urbanization, ARIMA, Financing Scheme, Fuzzy Prference Relations, Safeguad Measures
PDF Full Text Request
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