Research On Coordinated Development Of The Logistics Industry And Regional Economics

Modern logistics industry is not only the main way that various industries changes itseconomic growth mode, but also has become a new economic growth spot of the nationaleconomy development. However, current logistics industry in China is still in initial stage,along with the prolems of high cost, poor infrastructure facilities, imbalance between supplyand demand. All of these seriously restrict the development of regional economic. Therefore,the research on coordinated development of the logistics industry and regional economics isvery urgent.The problem of coordinated development of logistics industry and regional economic hasbeen carried out by the method of regional economics, industrial economics, econometricsand system science theory based on the current research results.The main research of thispaper includes:(1) With the view of the general situation of China’s logistics industry development, thepaper introduces the logistics industry development history and present situation. The regionaldevelopment level of logistics industry is evaluated in2011and the spatial concentrationdistribution and its evolution characteristics are analyzed. The results show that there is still aregional imbalance in the development of logistics industry, although the logistics industrydevelopment in our country has made great progress. The provinces of the better developmentof logistics industry are mainly concentrated in the southeast coastal areas presenting adecreasing ladder trend from eastern to western. Logistics industry agglomeration issignificant and has a rising trend.(2) Dynamic econometric model is applided to analyze the interactive between thelogistics industry development and economic growth. A multivariate spatial econometricmodel of logistics industry’s effect on economic growth is built. According to the regionalpanel data, the econometric model is analyzed empirically. Results show that there is along-term co-integration relationship between them. In the long run, the logistics industrypromotes the economic growth. However, the regional logistics has no significant effect on the regional economic growth. The effect of the logistics industry development on regionaleconomic growth is overestimated if the space factor is ignored.(3) Spatial panel Durbin model is built to analyze the development of logistics industryon rationalization of industrial structure and optimization of industrial structure based onpanel data.The results show that rationalization of industrial structure and optimization ofindustrial structure have significant positive spillover effect. The development of modernlogistics industry not only can significantly promote the process of the industrial structureoptimization, but also promote the development of adjacent areas through the positivespillover effect.(4) The logistics-regional economy compound system is constructed using the systemanalysis theory. The coordinated development mechanism of the compound system is studiedusing the dissipative structure theory and synergetic theory. The compound system and itssubsystems coordination development level of the country and each province is measuredusing the PLS path model. The results show that coordination development level of compositesystem and each subsystem is prensent an increasing trend on the whole year by year. Thecoordination development level of the various subsystems and compound system in easternregions is obviously superior to the central and western regions. None of the systems has gotrid of the extensive type of gorwth pattern. Ecomomic system is the important factor whichconstrained the improvement of the coordinated develpoment level of the compound system.(5) Using minimizing deviation coefficient model and the order parameter efficacymodel, we measure the coordinate degree of the logistics-regional economy compound systemand its subsystems. The results show that the coordination degree of compound system and itssubsystems is increasing since1997. Relatively, the coordination degree of compound systemand each subsystem is much higher in developed regions than other regions. However, mostregions are still in low coordination or inharmonious state. In two stages, there is nosubstantial change in spatial distribution characteristic of the compound system and itssubsystems presenting decreasing trend from the eastern to central and western, but the gapamong the western, central and eastern trends to be narrowed. In this paper, the main contributions include:(1) A regional logistics competitiveevaluation model is built from the competitive strength and competitive potential of theregional logistics.The weight of the evaluation system is decided by the principal componentanalysis and entropy value method.(2) A multivariate spatial econometric model of logisticsindustry’s effect on economic growth is built based on the classical economic theory, the newclassical economic theory, the new economic growth theory and the new economic geographytheory.(3) Spatial econometric method is used to study the effect of logistics industry toregional economic development considering the spatial data correlation.(4) Thelogistics-regional economy compound system coordination development level measure modelis built based on PLS path model and the compound system and its subsystems coordinationdevelopment level of the country and each province is measured.The above research results can help to enrich the theory of logistics system and proviedmore scientific evidences for regional economy and logistics system planning.