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The References Of The United States And Other Advanced Sugar Producing Countries Industrial Polices For China

Posted on:2015-03-05Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y XieFull Text:PDF
GTID:1269330431961533Subject:Agricultural versatility industry
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Sugar is one of the major agricultural products relating to national economy and people’s livelihood. In recent years, the contemporary development of the domestic and international sugar industry has attracted more and more attention. By collecting and analyzing the industrial polices of the main sugar producing countries, this research aims to find out the suitable experience and strategies for China, and also tries to provide beneficial suggestions and advices.This article firstly introduces the current situation of sugar industry, focusing on the influence factors of sugar prices in China. The industrial efficiency of the overall sugarcane industry and the main sugar cane producing areas are analyzed in the paper. Second, the development of the world’s major sugar producing countries (regions) are introduced, including Brazil, Thailand, India, the European Union, Australia and the United States. This paper focuses on the sugar industry in the United States and carries on the empirical analysis, including the sugar price effect by the industrial policy, and the seasonal analysis of sugar consumption. For the world’s major sugar producing countries (regions),the worthy reference for our country industrial policy are summarized, finally, puts forward the opinions and suggestions for China’s sugar industry.In this paper, the main research are:(one) Combined with China’s industrial policy theoretical analysis and empirical research. The paper made two ecomonical models. The first sugar price model by using the method of stepwise regression analyzed the influence factors of sugar prices in our country,and drew the conclusion: Sugar prices in our country, mainly affected by the international sugar price, the price of crude oil and the influence of the CPI. The second model using super efficiency DEA model analyzed the efficiency of the country’s sugar cane industry from2003to2011and drew the conclusion:From2003to2003, although the sugarcane planting in China area was increasing, the efficiency of sugarcane industry in China did not improve, and reduced year by year. In addition, although Qiong North yield and mechanization degree is not high, but because of the lowest cost of land of Hainan province, the Qiong North yield effiencienfy was the top one of all the main producing areas.The second one was the Yue West region, then the Gui Central and South region and Dian Southwest region. Each producing area had the same problems including the low degree of mechanization, sugarcane yield volatility change, higher costs, low sugar cane industry profit margins and so on.(two) Combining the theories of the American industry policy analysis, the paper carried on the empirical research of the sugar market. The first model used the stepwise regression method to determine the specific and stable impact of the America’s sugar industry polices to the sugar prices. In the model, the paper analyzed the factors that affect the United States sugar prices, including21specific indicators from the three main respects about the production and marketing situation, the policy factors and other factors, then established multiple stepwise regression model, the cane sugar prices and beet sugar prices of the United States had been analyzed by the regression method, the conclusion showed:each1unit change of the price support policy factors, would affect0.2042units changes of the prices of raw sugar, and for refined beet sugar prices, each1 unit change of the price support policy factors, would affect0.7693units changes of the prices of refined sugar. The conclusion suggested that the U.S. government’s policy had played a large role to the stable of the market. The second model used regression model with the virtual variable to analyze the seasonal factors of the American sugar consumption, the conclusion showed that44%of the cane sugar consumption could be explained by the processors’stocks, the cane sugar production and cane sugar consumption of the last period, among these factors, the seasonal effects of the processors’ stocks was significant, but the seasonal effects of the price and production were not significant; and58%of the beet sugar consumption could be explained by the processors’stocks, the beet sugar production and consumption of the last period, among these factors, the seasonal effects of the processors’stocks and production were significant, but effects of the price was not significant.(three) According to the present situation of sugar industry and the polices of world’s major sugar producing countries, such as Brazil, Australia and other industrial policies this paper makes the conclusions of the industrial policies of the United States and the enlightenments from the world’s major sugar producing nations. This papers also makes some suggestions from the industrial layout, price protection, improvement of the regulatory mechanism, legislation, mechanization, anti-smuggling policies and so on..
Keywords/Search Tags:sugar industry, the world’s major sugar producing countries, the industry polices, econometric model, enlightenment
PDF Full Text Request
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