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The Criminal Investigation Decision-Making Research Under The Bound Rationality

Posted on:2019-12-22Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:Z F DuanFull Text:PDF
GTID:1366330545452749Subject:Investigation
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Decision-making is the strategy and methods based on management,and the research on decision-making will discover perfectible ways and contents during the process of application.In the task of criminal investigation,as the important decision based on investigation situation from the investigation subject,the decision-making has an effect on the whole process of investigation activity.In the certain area of authority,the investigation organization and its investigation personnel recognize,analyze,manage and examine the relevant situation so that they can make some decision to exert a positive effectiveness on investigation.However,the coming risk society,new problems coming out,issues on untraditional and traditional security going sharper,and the contradiction between cyber and real society becoming harder put forward a higher requirement for the investigation personnel's consciousness,coping capacity and so on.Investigation decision-making gradually shows its important status by keeping and improving the investigation efficiency with analysis to achieve a better result.So it is necessary to research decision-making theory as the foundation of investigation decision-making theoretical foundation to improve the quality of investigation so that discover the selective preference and optimization method in the investigation decision-making.Owing to the finiteness,changeability,and randomness of subjective and objective conditions,investigation decision-making cannot achieve rational state statically,instead of bounded rationality under the practical situation.Based on the analysis of bounded rational factors in the activity of investigation decision-making,we can find the subjective and objective reasons of bounded rational investigation decision-making from the point of subject,environment,information,behavior,and so on,and solve the most important problem of decision-making deviation and error.In the investigation decision-making process,the limitation of the subjective thought and ability,the necessity of influence of objective environment,one-sideness of incomplete information collection and analysis,and the shortage of the decision-making behavior in the process will become the practical influence of founded rational factors to the investigation decision-making,with the reason why leads to the decision-making deviation and error.As a result,in the practical,objective,and limited conditions,what we need is the preference and optimization of investigation decision-making under the bounded rationality and to improve the efficiency of investigation decision-making with a positive effectiveness.Investigation decision-making under the bounded rationality needs optimization and correction to play its role to the best under the objective,practical conditions.Investigation decision-making is based on the practical conditions limited by subjective and objective factors so that it is necessary to normalize the limitation area of decision-making,define the principle of decision-making and formulate and select the best investigation decision-making method under the decision program.Firstly,making an investigation decision needs relevant space and limitation while the principle of optimization of an investigation decision-making is the behavior norm,which is the first step of investigation decision-making optimization.Secondly,the behavior of investigation decision-making is displayed by a dynamic process.Then clear procedure is stipulated with the subject thinking normalized systematically by quantized model.And it will achieve the best effect of investigation decision-making method optimization.On this basis,correct the investigation decision-making,explicit the decision-making subject,improve the thinking path of subject,set the development direction of information,digitalization,and technology,and build the mechanism of investigation decision-making.Based on the domestic and foreign research review,the introduction put out a problem that the research on investigation decision-making and its behavior has shortage on theory,and the practical bounded rational decision-making situation put forward requirement of decision-making preference and optimization.The research should begin from decision-making subject to decision-making behavior and improve the formulation,preference,and optimization of investigation decision-making.Otherwise,the difficulty of interdisciplinary study and empirical research of investigation decision-making is still the handicap of this research.In the first chapter,the research starts from the concept of investigation decision-making by compared with police decision-making,police resolution,investigation judgment and other relevant concepts,explicit the connotation and essence of investigation decision-making,and make the classification and summary.Meanwhile,analyze the new venture,challenge,and requirement from the current risk society,society with rule of law,and information society.Facing this problem,draw the bounded rationality into the behavior decision-making theory,regard the "people" as the research point,make the reflection and criticism to the "deserved" investigation decision-making of entirely rationality,and discuss the applicability of investigation decision-making under bounded rationality.The second chapter is to analyze the bounded rational factors of investigation decision-making as the rational boundary of the process.First of all,subject's cognitive ability,analysis ability and decision-making psychical elements show the bounded rationality of investigation decision-making subject.In addition,the dynamics of the investigation situation,the attribute of game of the subjects in investigation activities,and the high pressure of investigation decision-making reflect the uncertainty of investigation decision-making environment.Then analyzing the share,the timeliness,and the search cost of information and so on can show the incompleteness of investigation decision-making information.Finally,elaborate the normal investigation decision-making behavior mode and behavior process to explain the bounded rationality of investigation decision-making behavior.The third chapter combines the bounded rationality and investigation decision-making empirical data.Via designing questionnaire,and leading the prospect theory,framing effect,and selection deviation test method to analyze the obtained questionnaires with the subjective bias problems of decision error.Then collect recent years' criminal wrong cases,do the collection and analysis,study the practical problems of investigation decision-making errors in the wrong cases.At last,gather the analysis of experiment and practice to discover the subjective and objective reasons of investigation decision-making deviation.The fourth chapter draws the decision-making optimization into the investigation decision-making with the change of traditional experiential decision-making mode and the technical method of reducing the investigation decision-making errors.The investigation decision-making preference is founded on the principle of scientific decision and it is necessary to explicit the formula of investigation decision-making preference.Finally,explain the parameter and methods by dividing the preference methods as certainty,uncertainty,and risky investigation decision-making preferences.Base on the scientific methods,the fifth chapter makes the specification and correction on the subjective factor from person,thinking to system,avoiding the subjective and objective factors disturbing the investigation decision-making.Firstly,optimize the structure of the investigation subject,enhance the basic quality of investigation commanders,and specify the behaviors of leaders.Secondly,expand the investigation thinking model from image,abstract and inspirational thinking,propose the creative thinking such as counter-intuitive thinking,brainstorming and investigative heuristics,and lead "the big data" into the investigative thinking.Finally,from a macro perspective,build the quaternity of investigation decision-making mechanism with decision-making consulting,evaluating,supervisory and feedback mechanism.
Keywords/Search Tags:Criminal Investigation Decision-Making, Bounded Rationality, Prospect Theory, Decision-Making Deviation, Decision-Making Method
PDF Full Text Request
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