Study On MSW Delivering Quantity Forecasting And Developing Directions Of Disposal Technology

Due to the accelerating urbanization, the number of cities in China is increasing, the cities are extending, the urban population is ascending., those make the output of municipal solid waste is turning up sharply, and the composition of MSW in Chinese cities are changing year by year. Then the lack of waste disposal facilities, the planning and construction, the development of disposal technology, those problems should be solved.Aimed at those problems, this thesis analyzed some key factors that influencing the delivering quantity of MSW according to statistical data of recent years, and propound two forecasting models for delivering quantity: the optimal single model based on later fitting precision, and the optimal combining model based on consistent predicting precision. Using the models, this thesis forecasted the MSW delivering quantity in the forthcoming years, to provide fundamental data for the MSW management and disposal decision making by administration and governments. This thesis also discussed the actual state of waste disposal and the disposal technology in China, analyzed the problems and factors conditioned the development of disposal technology, and summarized the development directions of disposal technology in China.It manifested that, with the accelerating urbanization, the MSW delivering quantity in China will still be on a rapid increasing speed in the next 5 years. The increasing MSW delivering quantity and changing composition will impact the developing directions of waste disposal technology. In order to realize reduction, resourcfulization and harmlessness, China will develop single disposal technology, such as landfill, incineration and composting, based on developing combining disposal technology.