Combat Simulation Research Of Defense In Missile-Combat System

With the development of military technology, missile assault is became the major artifice of long-distance air attack. Missle is the major threat to strategic and tactic targets on the battleground. There are big quantity different kinds of aggressive missiles. So, to build up a currency Missile-Combat Simulation system is an important task in the modernization of our national defence. To build up such a system, the Monte-carlo method is used to particularly study the defensive side campaign efficiency in the Missile-Combat system in this paper.Firstly, the process of missile defense system intercepting inbreak missile was discussed and the frame of Missile-Combat Simulation system was built up. The mathematical models of satellite detecting, radar and infrared detecting were established. Then, the model of targets' threats evaluating and the intercepting decision of defense system was given. The probability of shot and the probability of a surface-to-air missile kills an inbreak missile were particularly analyzed. And the influence of the offensive missile adopts secret measure and anti-intercept maneuver to the missile d fense system killing an offensive missile was discussed. With the established models, the campaign efficiency of PAC-2(Patriot Anti-missile Capability) missile defense system intercepting the hypersonic cruise missile was simulating calculated. It was analyzed that the factors including target's velocity, height, RCS (Radar Cross Section), and maneuverability affect defense system intercepting hypersonic cruise missile. And the penetration probability of the hypersonic cruise missile been multi-shot by surface-to-air missiles was calculated. Some conclusions about missile-combat are drawn. The analysis and calculation made in the paper provided a certain reference for the validation of missile-combat precept and missile total design.