Study On Coastal Fishing Ports Distribution Of Shandong Province

Fishing ports are an important part of the agricultural infrastructure. They play a significant role in protecting the lives and property of fishermen, pushing forward the structural readjustment of the fishing industry, promoting the economic prosperity of fishing areas and helping fishermen increase incomes. The first thing before building fishing ports is the work of fishing ports distribution in order to avoid unthinking action and promoting the orderly development of fisheries. At present, the overall distribution of coastal fishing ports of Shandong Province is not planned. The phenomenon of random construction is comparatively prominent, which has affected the sustainable development of fisheries. The distribution needs to be optimized badly.Based on the status quo of coastal fishing ports distribution of Shandong Province, according to the forecasting output of the aquatic product at the end of"12th 5-year plan"and applying the"point-axis"space structure theory, it is built that the cascade distribution system of coastal fishing ports of Shandong Province and it is proposed that the fishing port distribution plan at the end of"12th 5-year plan".1. In this thesis, it is formulated that the superiorities of developing the fishery and the development process of fishing ports in Shandong Province. The status quo of fishing ports distribution is analysed. The problems of distribution are summed up.2. The forecasting model of the seawater aquatic product output is established separately based on GM(1,1) and Pierre curve model. It is proposed that the variable weight combination forecasting based on single-point error entropy. Through using this proposed method, it is established that the combination forecasting model of the output. The model accuracy is good. The forecasting results show that the output will be growing steadily during the period of"12th 5-year plan". The output will reach 6.45 million tons. 3. Weights of evaluation indexes of fishery counties are determined by the use of AHP. The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is adopted to determine the large, medium, small fishery counties and the key fishery counties. Through applying the distribution principle of center fishing ports and first-grade fishing ports proposed in this thesis and the"point-axis"space structure theory, the cascade distribution system of coastal fishing ports is founded.The center and first-grade fishing ports can service 45% of marine fishing vessels and meet the unloading need of 40.3% of seawater aquatic products at the end of"12^th 5-year plan". There is a fishing port above the first grade per 71 kilometers coastline on average. By then, the coastal fishing port economic zones will be formed. The study achievements of this thesis can be treated as the reference to establish the fishing port distribution plan for the relevant departments of Shandong Province.