The Analysis Of Forest Resource Change In China Based On Environmental Kuznets Curve Assumption

As an integral part of terrestrial ecosystem, forest is the foundation of national economy and social development. It maintains ecological balance and improves ecological environment, playing an irreplaceable role in dealing with global climate change. Forest resources changes are directly related to the environment changes. Therefore, it is significant to coordinate our social economic with forest resource.In the early 1990s, American economists Grossman & Krueger and Shafik & Bandyopadhyay proposed the environmental kuznets curve (EKC) concept, it concerned by Scholars both at home and abroad. In recent years, environmental kuznets curve has become an important econometric model to describe economic development and environmental pollution levels. A lot of scholars inspected the relationship by using different environment index respectively. Environmental quality doesn't only include the environment pollution, but also includes ecological destruction, such as forest land quantity reduction, forest quality degradation, deforestation etc. So analyzing the relationship between forest resources and the economic development in China, based on environmental kuznets curve theory, will describe forest ecological destruction more clearly. It's better for us to keep the ecological environment and society development harmoniously, also enrich environmental kuznets curve theory research.This paper based on the environmental kuznets basic model and extended model assumption, used Chinese 31 provinces (municipalities, autonomous regions) panel data during the 1973-2008 to analyze the relationship between economic growth and forest coverage rate, forest growing stock, forest timber production. Empirical study found that the change of forest coverage rate, forest growing stock fit environmental kuznets hypothesis; timber production and per capita GDP don't fit environmental kuznets curve hypothesis, but an N-shape relationship exist. After joining tertiary industry proportion, agricultural population proportion, foreign trade, capital construction investment, and forest project index, the model showed that forest project brings the forest coverage rate increased; tertiary industry proportion and construction investment have positive impact to forest growing stock; the increase of agricultural population can add timber production, raising tertiary industry proportion and capital construction investment, implementing the forestry project can make timber production decrease.According to the model test results, this paper proposes some suggestions:transforming the pattern of economic growth, adjusting industrial structure reasonable, increasing government forestry industry investment and go deep into propelling forestry project, improving peasant quality, making urbanization progress, putting layout on regional forestry development.